Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Orsato D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Viaplay
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video
Italy	21:00	Canale 5, Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport 1
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	TV4
Turkey	22:00	TV8 Turkey
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports


	Paris Saint-Germain		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	1.48	5.2	5.5
	1.5	5	5.5
	1.49	5	6
	1.51	5.19	5.99
	1.49	5.19	5.99
	1.5	4.8	5.5
	1.54	5.03	5.96
	1.48	5.1	5.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	5.06 ↑ (4.26)	5.79 ↓ (6.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: Univision, TUDN

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
64.3%

Draw
19%

Borussia Dortmund
16.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62%

22.5%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

22%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76%	7.4%	16.5%

Paris Saint Germain - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: 116 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 89 - 76.7%). Borussia D will win (votes: 19 - 16.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 69% – 84.4%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Donnarumma G. (G) 2. Hakimi A. 5. Marquinhos (C) 35. Beraldo L. 25. Mendes N. 33. Zaire-Emery W. 17. Vitinha 8. Ruiz F. 10. Dembele O. 9. Ramos G. 7. Mbappe K.	1. Kobel G. (G) 26. Ryerson J. 15. Hummels M. 4. Schlotterbeck N. 22. Maatsen I. 23. Can E. (C) 20. Sabitzer M. 10. Sancho J. 19. Brandt J. 27. Adeyemi K. 14. Fullkrug N.
Substitutes
11. Asensio M. 29. Barcola B. 23. Kolo Muani R. 19. Lee Kang-In 26. Mukiele N. 1. Navas K. (G) 15. Pereira D. 37. Skriniar M. 28. Soler C. 80. Tenas A. (G) 4. Ugarte M. 42. Zague Y.	43. Bynoe-Gittens J. 9. Haller S. 35. Lotka M. (G) 21. Malen D. 33. Meyer A. (G) 18. Moukoko Y. 8. Nmecha F. 6. Ozcan S. 11. Reus M. 25. Sule N. 38. Watjen K. 17. Wolf M.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Terzic E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Hummels M. ⚽, Brandt J. (A),
56', Adeyemi K. ↓, Reus M. ↑,
63', Ruiz F. ↓, Asensio M. ↑,
63', Ramos G. ↓, Barcola B. ↑,
64', Sabitzer M. 🟨,
65', Hummels M. 🟨,
67', Sancho J. ↓, Sule N. ↑,
75', Dembele O. 🟨,
76', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
84', Hakimi A. 🟨,
85', Brandt J. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

PSG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Borussia D have a series of home games.

In this match PSG is a favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Hernandez L. (Knee Injury) Kimpembe P. (Convalescence) Kurzawa L. (Coach's decision) Rico S. (Head Injury)

There will not play in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Knee Injury) Duranville J. (Muscle Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches PSG won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
01.05.24	Borussia Dortmund - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
27.04.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre	3:3 ✺
24.04.24	Lorient - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4 ✺
21.04.24	Paris Saint-Germain - Lyon	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.04.24	Barcelona - Paris Saint-Germain	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWWW
- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
04.05.24	Borussia Dortmund - Augsburg	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.05.24	Borussia Dortmund - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
27.04.24	RB Leipzig - Borussia Dortmund	4:1 ✺
21.04.24	Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.04.24	Borussia Dortmund - Atlético Madrid	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
01.05.24	Borussia Dortmund - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0
13.12.23	Borussia Dortmund - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1
19.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Borussia Dortmund	2:0
11.03.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Borussia Dortmund	2:0
18.02.20	Borussia Dortmund - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1

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