Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 27

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Whaddon Road (Cheltenham)

Referee: Mather S. (Eng)


	Cheltenham Town		Portsmouth

	1	X	2
	4.75	4	1.7
	4.5	3.7	1.73
	4.75	3.75	1.72	Watch
	4.82	3.92	1.74
	4.82	3.92	1.75
	4.33	3.7	1.7
	4.53	3.82	1.74	Watch
	4.4	3.75	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (4.58)	3.82 ↑ (3.73)	1.73 (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cheltenham Town
20.5%

Draw
24.8%

Portsmouth
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25.2%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

25.7%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cheltenham Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Portsmouth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cheltenham Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	4.5%	95.5%

Cheltenham Town - Portsmouth Predictions

Users Predictions: Portsmouth will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Southwood L. (G) 22. Smith L. 4. Bradbury T. 33. Davies C. 2. Long S. (C) 34. Pett T. 8. Sercombe L. 3. Williams B. 23. Bonds E. 10. Keena A. 19. Lloyd G.	1. Norris W. (G) 17. Rafferty J. 20. Raggett S. 18. Shaughnessy C. 21. Sparkes J. 16. Morrell J. 7. Pack M. (C) 25. Kamara A. 11. Whyte G. 32. Lane P. 9. Bishop C.
Substitutes
38. Butler-Oyedeji N. 15. Ferry W. 24. Horton G. 29. King T. 35. Liggett B. 21. Pardington J. (G) 14. Thompson C.	24. Devlin T. 26. Lowery T. 29. Martin J. 15. Saydee C. 31. Schofield R. (G) 10. Scully A. 4. Towler R.
Coaches
Clarke D.	Mousinho J.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Portsmouth is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Cheltenham won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Cheltenham won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cheltenham Town
English League One
01.01.24	Northampton Town - Cheltenham Town	1:0 ✺
29.12.23	Cheltenham Town - Reading	2:2 ✺
26.12.23	Cheltenham Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
23.12.23	Carlisle United - Cheltenham Town	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Cheltenham Town - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTWWL
- Portsmouth FC
English League One
01.01.24	Portsmouth - Stevenage Borough	2:1 ✺
29.12.23	Exeter City - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
26.12.23	Bristol Rovers - Portsmouth	2:1 ✺
23.12.23	Portsmouth - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
19.12.23	Portsmouth - AFC Wimbledon	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
19.08.23	Portsmouth - Cheltenham Town	0:0
25.02.23	Portsmouth - Cheltenham Town	4:0
13.08.22	Cheltenham Town - Portsmouth	0:2
09.04.22	Cheltenham Town - Portsmouth	1:0
02.11.21	Portsmouth - Cheltenham Town	1:1
English EFL Trophy
08.12.20	Cheltenham Town - Portsmouth	0:3
English League Two
06.05.17	Portsmouth - Cheltenham Town	6:1

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