The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 35.7%
Draw 29.6%
Accrington Stanley 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.3%
29.2%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25%
20.6%
50.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+15.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Accrington Stanley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20.6%
41.2%
38.2%
Northampton Town - Accrington Stanley Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). Accrington will win (votes: 13 - 38.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 41.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.7% – 57.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
No spectators.
Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 17 and 14).
Northampton has a good chance of relegated (52%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Accrington has a chance of relegated (18%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Northampton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Accrington is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Accrington could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Northampton won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 19-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.
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