The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Northampton Town 28.9%
Draw 26.2%
Milton Keynes Dons 44.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
27%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.1%
19.7%
56.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northampton Town that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Milton Keynes Dons could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Northampton Town - Milton Keynes Dons Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Northampton is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches MK Dons is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
MK Dons could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
MK Dons will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 17-24.
Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-10.
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