Match Info

Date: 9 November 2020, Monday


	Oxford City		Northampton Town

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.57	Watch
	4.6	4.25	1.53
	4.5	4.25	1.57	Watch
	5.2	4.6	1.52
	5.02	4.04	1.47
	5.25	4.33	1.57	Watch
	5	4.55	1.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.97 ↑ (3.94)	4.36 ↑ (3.96)	1.54 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
18.6%

Draw
21.2%

Northampton Town
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

23.5%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

15.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Northampton Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oxford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-26.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Northampton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.5%	11.4%	68.2%

Oxford City - Northampton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 9 - 20.5%). Northampton will win (votes: 30 - 68.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 54.4% – 82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Oxford City is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Northampton is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Northampton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Northampton is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League South
31.10.20	Oxford City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
24.10.20	Weymouth - Oxford City	2:3 ✺
English National League South
17.10.20	Oxford City - Tonbridge Angels	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.10.20	Oxford City - Tamworth	6:1 ✺
English National League South
10.10.20	Chelmsford City - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWWWT
- Northampton Town
English League One
03.11.20	Northampton Town - Milton Keynes Dons	0:0 ✺
31.10.20	Wigan Athletic - Northampton Town	2:3 ✺
27.10.20	Portsmouth - Northampton Town	4:0 ✺
24.10.20	Northampton Town - Charlton Athletic	0:2 ✺
20.10.20	Northampton Town - Swindon Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWLLW

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