Match Info

Championship - Round 23

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Carrow Road (Norwich)

Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Norwich City		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.01	3.5	3.5	Watch
	2.03	3.56	3.56	Watch
	2.03	3.6	3.55	Watch
	2	3.4	3.5
	2.05	3.6	3.78	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.23)	3.54 ↑ (3.49)	3.57 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwich City
46.7%

Draw
26.7%

Charlton Athletic
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

27.1%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

27.2%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Charlton Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.2%	4.7%	3.1%

Norwich City - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Norwich will win (votes: 59 - 92.2%). Charlton will win (votes: 2 - 3.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norwich: 85.6% – 98.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Norwich City will win (25 of 25 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 35. Fisher K. 15. McConville R. 6. Darling H. 14. Chrisene B. 23. McLean K. (C) 7. Mattsson P. 20. Slimane A. 10. Jurasek M. 29. Schwartau O. 24. Makama J.	1. Kaminski T. (G) 36. Gough K. 5. Jones L. (C) 3. Gillesphey M. 6. Coventry C. 28. Bree J. 14. Carey S. 18. Anderson K. 17. Bell A. 22. Olaofe T. 11. Leaburn M.
Substitutes
33. Cordoba J. 8. Gibbs L. 32. Grimshaw D. (G) 30. Kvistgaarden M. 47. Mahovo L. 11. Marcondes E. 42. Springett T. 3. Stacey J. 16. Wright J.	30. Apter R. 8. Berry L. 32. Burke R. 7. Campbell T. 10. Docherty G. 23. Kelman C. 41. Knibbs H. 25. Mannion W. (G) 26. Rankin-Costello J.
Coaches
Clement P.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Slimane A. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
46', Jurasek M. ↓, Springett T. ↑,
46', Chrisene B. 🟨,
60', Bell A. ↓, Campbell T. ↑,
60', Anderson K. ↓, Docherty G. ↑,
61', 1 - 0, Makama J. ⚽,
64', Makama J. 🟨,
64', Kaminski T. 🟨,
65', Darling H. 🟨,
68', Chrisene B. ↓, Mahovo L. ↑,
71', Olaofe T. ↓, Apter R. ↑,
71', Leaburn M. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
77', Campbell T. 🟨,
84', Makama J. ↓, Kvistgaarden M. ↑,
84', Schwartau O. ↓, Stacey J. ↑,
84', Coventry C. ↓, Berry L. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Norwich might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Norwich: Crnac A. (Knee Injury) Diallo P. A. (Muscle Injury) Schlupp J. (Hamstring Injury) Topic M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Charlton: Bell A. (Muscle Injury) Edwards J. (Ankle Injury) Godden M. (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Norwich: Forson A. (Hamstring Injury) Mahovo L. (Muscle Injury) Sargent J. (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Charlton: Burke R. (Foot Injury) Hernandez O. (Injury) Ramsay K. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.7:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Charlton Athletic - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.5%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English League Championship
20.12.25	Preston North End - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Norwich City - Southampton	2:1 ✺
09.12.25	Sheffield United - Norwich City	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Watford - Norwich City	3:2 ✺
29.11.25	Norwich City - Queens Park Rangers	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TWTLW
- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
20.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Oxford United	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.12.25	Charlton Athletic - Middlesbrough	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Coventry City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	Stoke City - Charlton Athletic	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
09.01.22	Charlton Athletic - Norwich City	0:1
Club Friendly
28.07.18	Charlton Athletic - Norwich City	1:0
English League Cup
22.08.17	Norwich City - Charlton Athletic	4:1
Club Friendly
25.07.17	Charlton Athletic - Norwich City	0:2
English League Championship
10.02.15	Charlton Athletic - Norwich City	2:3
30.09.14	Norwich City - Charlton Athletic	0:1

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