Match Info

Championship - Round 38

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Carrow Road (Norwich)

Referee: Ward G. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Norwich City		Preston North End

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.33	5.75	Watch
	1.54	4.28	5.92
	1.56	4.41	5.95
	1.54	4.35	5.76	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.59	4.45	5.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.83)	4.3 ↑ (3.69)	5.75 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norwich City
61.6%

Draw
22%

Preston North End
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.8%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.5%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norwich City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Norwich City's performance.

Preston North End has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Preston North End might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norwich City than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Norwich City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston North End than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Preston North End could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	11.1%	5.6%

Norwich City - Preston North End Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Norwich (1.92) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Norwich City will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Norwich City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Norwich (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacevic V. (G) 3. Stacey J. 6. Darling H. 33. Cordoba J. 14. Chrisene B. 7. Mattsson P. 23. McLean K. (C) 8. Gibbs L. 20. Slimane A. 21. Ahmed A. 30. Kvistgaarden M.	1. Iversen D. (G) 42. Offiah O. 14. Storey J. 6. Lindsay L. 16. Hughes A. 26. Small T. 15. Thompson J. 4. Whiteman B. (C) 23. Moran A. 9. Jebbison D. 17. Dobbin L.
Substitutes
26. Field S. 35. Fisher K. 18. Forson A. 25. Maghoma P. 11. Marcondes E. 5. Medic J. 31. Moulden L. (G) 46. Mundle Smith E. 16. Wright J.	11. Brady R. 13. Cornell D. (G) 21. Devine A. 22. Lukovic M. 28. Osmajic M. 44. Potts B. 24. Smith M. 2. Valentin P. 3. Vukcevic A.
Coaches
Clement P.	Heckingbottom P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', Slimane A. 🟨,
17', 1 - 0, Ahmed A. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, McLean K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Chrisene B. ↓, Fisher K. ↑,
61', Kvistgaarden M. ↓, Mundle Smith E. ↑,
61', Slimane A. ↓, Maghoma P. ↑,
61', Mattsson P. ↓, Field S. ↑,
64', Offiah O. ↓, Potts B. ↑,
64', Moran A. ↓, Devine A. ↑,
65', Thompson J. ↓, Valentin P. ↑,
81', Small T. ↓, Brady R. ↑,
81', Whiteman B. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
87', Potts B. 🟨,
88', Ahmed A. ↓, Forson A. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 1.

In recent matches, Norwich has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Preston has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Preston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Norwich is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Norwich: Amass H. (Injury) Crnac A. (Knee Injury) Diallo P. A. (Injury) Duffy S. (Hamstring Injury) Forsyth G. (Knee Injury) Jurasek M. (Foot Injury) Makama J. (Foot Injury) Schlupp J. (Hamstring Injury) Schwartau O. (Hamstring Injury) Topic M. (Knee Injury) Toure M. (Injury)

There will not play in Preston: Gibson L. (Shoulder Injury) Lang C. (Injury)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Norwich won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Norwich won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1:1.1).

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Norwich: 4.58% Preston: 0.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Norwich	9	3	0	6	17:19	-2	9
24	Preston	9	1	1	7	8:16	-8	4

Last Results with these Odds

Norwich City - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.93%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norwich City
English League Championship
11.03.26	Norwich City - Sheffield United	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
08.03.26	Leeds United - Norwich City	3:0 ✺
English League Championship
28.02.26	Leicester City - Norwich City	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Norwich City - Sheffield Wednesday	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Norwich City - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWL
- Preston North End
English League Championship
11.03.26	Coventry City - Preston North End	3:0 ✺
06.03.26	Preston North End - Oxford United	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Preston North End - Millwall	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Swansea City - Preston North End	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Blackburn Rovers - Preston North End	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
20.12.25	Preston North End - Norwich City	1:1
11.02.25	Norwich City - Preston North End	0:1
22.10.24	Preston North End - Norwich City	2:2
13.04.24	Preston North End - Norwich City	0:1
09.12.23	Norwich City - Preston North End	0:0
14.01.23	Preston North End - Norwich City	0:4
08.10.22	Norwich City - Preston North End	2:3

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