The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nottingham Forest 34.5%
Draw 31.2%
Cardiff City 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
31%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.9%
22.1%
51.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nottingham Forest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Cardiff City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-11.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nottingham Forest that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cardiff City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
26.7%
20%
53.3%
Nottingham Forest - Cardiff City Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 8 - 26.7%). Cardiff will win (votes: 16 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Cardiff: 35.4% – 71.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Nottingham has the most likely position - 24 (8.04%), has project points - 52, has currently - 1, has a chance of relegated (23%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Cardiff has the most likely position - 5 (6.73%), has project points - 69, has currently - 8, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Nottingham has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Cardiff is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 12-21.
Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 7-12.
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