The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County 40.3%
Draw 31.2%
Nottingham Forest 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
31.4%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
23.2%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
41.9%
44.2%
14%
Derby County - Nottingham Forest Predictions
Users Predictions:
43 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 18 - 41.9%). Nottingham will win (votes: 6 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 44.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.4% – 59%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Derby has the most likely position - 18 (5.82%), has project points - 57, has currently - 5, has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Nottingham has the most likely position - 24 (8.22%), has project points - 53, has currently - 0, has a chance of relegated (23%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Recent matches Derby is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Nottingham is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Nottingham have a series of home games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Derby won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-5.
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