Match Info

Date: 20 November 2021, Saturday


	Reading		Nottingham Forest

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.45
	3	3.2	2.4
	3	3.1	2.6
	2.95	3.05	2.49
	3.07	3.17	2.59
	2.9	3.1	2.5
	2.98	3.28	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.9)	3.16 ↓ (3.23)	2.51 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Reading
31.9%

Draw
30.1%

Nottingham Forest
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

29.2%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

20.2%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nottingham Forest, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Reading - Nottingham Forest Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 and 13).

Reading has the most likely position - 19 (7.97%), has project points - 56, has currently - 22, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nottingham has the most likely position - 15 (6.58%), has project points - 60, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (3%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Reading is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nottingham is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Reading won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Reading
English League Championship
06.11.21	Birmingham City - Reading	1:2 ✺
02.11.21	Millwall - Reading	1:0 ✺
30.10.21	Reading - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
23.10.21	Blackburn Rovers - Reading	2:0 ✺
20.10.21	Reading - Blackpool	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL
- Nottingham Forest
English League Championship
06.11.21	Nottingham Forest - Preston North End	3:0 ✺
02.11.21	Nottingham Forest - Sheffield United	1:1 ✺
29.10.21	Queens Park Rangers - Nottingham Forest	1:1 ✺
24.10.21	Nottingham Forest - Fulham	0:4 ✺
19.10.21	Bristol City - Nottingham Forest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
13.03.21	Nottingham Forest - Reading	1:1
05.12.20	Reading - Nottingham Forest	2:0
22.01.20	Nottingham Forest - Reading	1:1
11.01.20	Reading - Nottingham Forest	1:1
12.01.19	Reading - Nottingham Forest	2:0
11.08.18	Nottingham Forest - Reading	1:0
20.02.18	Nottingham Forest - Reading	1:1

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