Match Info

Date: 2 December 2020, Wednesday


	Nottingham Forest		Watford

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	2.2
	3.4	3.3	2.2
	3.4	3.3	2.25
	3.3	3.1	2.27
	3.44	3.24	2.33
	3.3	3.1	2.3
	3.34	3.3	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.04)	3.22 ↓ (3.26)	2.26 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Nottingham Forest
28.2%

Draw
29.6%

Watford
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.1%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

22%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nottingham Forest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Watford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nottingham Forest than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Watford could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.6%	23.5%	54.9%

Nottingham Forest - Watford Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Nottingham will win (votes: 11 - 21.6%). Watford will win (votes: 28 - 54.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 41.2% – 68.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 and 5 in the zone Promotion to Championship (Play Offs)).

Nottingham has a chance of relegated (22%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Watford has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (43%), has a chance of win league (18%).

Recent matches Nottingham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Watford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nottingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Watford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Nottingham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nottingham Forest
English League Championship
29.11.20	Nottingham Forest - Swansea City	0:1 ✺
24.11.20	Bournemouth - Nottingham Forest	2:0 ✺
21.11.20	Barnsley - Nottingham Forest	2:0 ✺
07.11.20	Nottingham Forest - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0 ✺
04.11.20	Nottingham Forest - Coventry City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWW
- Watford FC
English League Championship
28.11.20	Watford - Preston North End	4:1 ✺
25.11.20	Bristol City - Watford	0:0 ✺
21.11.20	Queens Park Rangers - Watford	1:1 ✺
07.11.20	Watford - Coventry City	3:2 ✺
04.11.20	Watford - Stoke City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
30.01.16	Nottingham Forest - Watford	0:1
English League Championship
15.04.15	Nottingham Forest - Watford	1:3
21.10.14	Watford - Nottingham Forest	2:2
30.01.14	Nottingham Forest - Watford	4:2
25.08.13	Watford - Nottingham Forest	1:1
26.01.13	Nottingham Forest - Watford	0:3
22.12.12	Watford - Nottingham Forest	2:0

Upcoming Matches