Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 13 December 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Meadow Lane (Nottingham) 🌤️ ...


	Notts County		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	1.18	6.5	12
	1.17	6.75	10.5
	1.15	7.5	11.5
	1.17	6.6	11
	1.18	7.52	14.06
	1.17	6	13
	1.16	7.4	13.75
	1.18	6.8	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.3)	6.88 ↑ (4.53)	12.23 ↑ (9.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notts County
79%

Draw
13.4%

Gateshead
7.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.9%

20.1%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

18.9%

9.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Notts County's performance.

Gateshead has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.7%	3.3%	40%

Notts County - Gateshead Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 17 - 56.7%). Gateshead will win (votes: 12 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Notts County: 39% – 74.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two and 23 in the zone Relegation).

Notts County is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gateshead is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gateshead could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Notts County have a series of guest games.

In this match Notts County is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Notts County won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English National League
10.12.22	Maidenhead United - Notts County	3:4 ✺
03.12.22	Scunthorpe United - Notts County	1:4 ✺
19.11.22	Notts County - Yeovil Town	0:0 ✺
12.11.22	Eastleigh - Notts County	0:2 ✺
08.11.22	Southend United - Notts County	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTWT
- Gateshead
English National League
03.12.22	Gateshead - Aldershot Town	0:2 ✺
26.11.22	Torquay United - Gateshead	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Gateshead - Southend United	3:1 ✺
12.11.22	Yeovil Town - Gateshead	3:1 ✺
English FA Cup
05.11.22	Gateshead - Stevenage Borough	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
16.08.22	Gateshead - Notts County	1:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notts County
English League One
31.10.26	Mansfield Town - Notts County	✺
- Gateshead
English National League
31.10.26	Aldershot Town - Gateshead	✺

Notts County - Gateshead