Match Info

Date: 4 January 2021, Monday


	Nuova Cosenza		Empoli

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	2	Watch
	4	3.1	2.05
	3.7	3.25	2.07	Watch
	3.75	3.15	1.99
	4.02	3.43	2.05
	3.8	3.2	2.05
	4.05	3.28	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.43)	3.24 ↑ (3.08)	2.03 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nuova Cosenza
24.4%

Draw
29.1%

Empoli
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

30.6%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

22.3%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nuova Cosenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuova Cosenza than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Empoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	14.3%	61.9%

Nuova Cosenza - Empoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Cosenza will win (votes: 10 - 23.8%). Empoli will win (votes: 26 - 61.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Empoli: 47.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Cosenza has a chance of relegated (38%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Empoli has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (54%), has a chance of promoted (46%), has a chance of win league (19%).

Recent matches Cosenza is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Empoli is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Empoli will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cosenza won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Cosenza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuova Cosenza
Italian Serie B
30.12.20	Pescara - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
27.12.20	Nuova Cosenza - Pisa	1:1 ✺
22.12.20	Nuova Cosenza - Venezia	0:0 ✺
19.12.20	Cremonese - Nuova Cosenza	1:0 ✺
15.12.20	Ascoli - Nuova Cosenza	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TTTLW
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
30.12.20	Empoli - Ascoli	1:1 ✺
27.12.20	Brescia - Empoli	1:3 ✺
22.12.20	Empoli - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
19.12.20	Chievo - Empoli	1:1 ✺
15.12.20	Empoli - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.07.20	Empoli - Nuova Cosenza	1:5
26.12.19	Nuova Cosenza - Empoli	1:0

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