Match Info

Date: 4 October 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Eládio de Barros Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: Furtado A. S. (Bra)


	Náutico Capibaribe		Tombense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.2	3.9
	1.91	3.1	4.1
	1.93	3.2	3.85
	1.97	3.17	4.7
	1.95	3.2	4
	1.95	3.3	3.94	Watch
	1.87	3.35	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.94)	3.22 ↑ (3.11)	4.08 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Capibaribe
48.3%

Draw
28.9%

Tombense
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

30.1%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

29.8%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Capibaribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Capibaribe than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	10.5%	5.3%

Náutico Capibaribe - Tombense Predictions

Users Predictions: Náutico Capibaribe will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 11).

Recent matches Náutico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tombense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Náutico is a favorite.

There will not play in Náutico: Bryan (Injury) Hereda D. (Injury) Leo Passos (Injury) Paraiba L. (Injury)

There will not play in Tombense: Luan Rodrigues (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Náutico won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Capibaribe
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.22	Sport Recife - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
23.09.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Sampaio Corrêa	1:3 ✺
16.09.22	Vasco da Gama - Náutico Capibaribe	4:1 ✺
09.09.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Brusque	1:0 ✺
02.09.22	Náutico Capibaribe - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWW
- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
29.09.22	Tombense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
26.09.22	CS Alagoano - Tombense	2:0 ✺
16.09.22	Tombense - Londrina	1:1 ✺
10.09.22	Ituano - Tombense	3:0 ✺
03.09.22	Bahia - Tombense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
26.06.22	Tombense - Náutico Capibaribe	1:1

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