Match Info

Date: 18 May 2022, Wednesday

Location: Showa Denko Dome (Oita)


	Oita Trinita		Cerezo Osaka

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.6	1.85
	3.75	3.3	1.83
	3.8	3.4	1.81
	3.8	3.45	1.91
	3.96	3.56	1.99
	3.8	3.25	1.85
	3.82	3.62	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↑ (3.32)	3.45 ↑ (3.05)	1.88 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oita Trinita
24.2%

Draw
26.7%

Cerezo Osaka
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

29.7%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

29.5%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oita Trinita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cerezo Osaka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oita Trinita than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerezo Osaka than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cerezo Osaka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.9%	17.6%	76.5%

Oita Trinita - Cerezo Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Oita Trinita will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 17.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cerezo Osaka: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Cerezo Osaka is Qualified for YBC Levain Cup (Play Offs)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cerezo Osaka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cerezo Osaka is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Oita Trinita won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 5-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Oita Trinita won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oita Trinita
Japan J2 League
14.05.22	Oita Trinita - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 ✺
08.05.22	Montedio Yamagata - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
04.05.22	Oita Trinita - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
30.04.22	JEF United Chiba - Oita Trinita	0:3 ✺
27.04.22	Oita Trinita - Tochigi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTWT
- Cerezo Osaka
Japan J1 League
14.05.22	Nagoya Grampus - Cerezo Osaka	1:0 ✺
06.05.22	Cerezo Osaka - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
03.05.22	Sagan Tosu - Cerezo Osaka	1:1 ✺
29.04.22	Cerezo Osaka - Kashima Antlers	0:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
23.04.22	Cerezo Osaka - Gamba Osaka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
26.03.22	Cerezo Osaka - Oita Trinita	6:1
Japan J1 League
03.10.21	Oita Trinita - Cerezo Osaka	1:0
17.03.21	Cerezo Osaka - Oita Trinita	1:0
25.11.20	Oita Trinita - Cerezo Osaka	0:1
22.02.20	Cerezo Osaka - Oita Trinita	1:0
07.12.19	Oita Trinita - Cerezo Osaka	0:2
Japan J League Cup
22.05.19	Cerezo Osaka - Oita Trinita	2:0

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