Match Info

Date: 5 March 2022, Saturday


	Oldham Athletic		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.3	3
	2.35	3.1	3
	2.4	3.2	3.05
	2.36	3.1	3
	2.38	3.28	3.24
	2.35	3.2	3
	2.41	3.42	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.25)	3.23 ↓ (3.36)	3.06 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Oldham Athletic
39.8%

Draw
29.3%

Carlisle United
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

28.5%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

21.4%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Carlisle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+16.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oldham Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlisle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Oldham Athletic - Carlisle United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 19).

Oldham has the most likely position - 23 (19.11%), has project points - 47, has currently - 31, has a chance of relegated (20%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Carlisle has the most likely position - 21 (15.93%), has project points - 48, has currently - 34, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has very small quality 7, importance 43, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oldham won 2.

Oldham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Carlisle is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Oldham won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Oldham won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oldham Athletic
English League Two
01.03.22	Crawley Town - Oldham Athletic	2:2 ✺
26.02.22	Colchester United - Oldham Athletic	1:1 ✺
19.02.22	Oldham Athletic - Bradford City	2:0 ✺
12.02.22	Newport County - Oldham Athletic	3:3 ✺
08.02.22	Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TTWTW
- Carlisle United
English League Two
01.03.22	Carlisle United - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
26.02.22	Leyton Orient - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
19.02.22	Carlisle United - Swindon Town	0:3 ✺
12.02.22	Colchester United - Carlisle United	2:2 ✺
08.02.22	Carlisle United - Port Vale	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
23.10.21	Carlisle United - Oldham Athletic	0:0
27.02.21	Carlisle United - Oldham Athletic	1:3
20.10.20	Oldham Athletic - Carlisle United	1:1
English League Cup
05.09.20	Oldham Athletic - Carlisle United	3:0
English League Two
18.01.20	Oldham Athletic - Carlisle United	1:1
28.09.19	Carlisle United - Oldham Athletic	1:0
26.12.18	Carlisle United - Oldham Athletic	6:0

Upcoming Matches