Match Info

III Liga - Group I - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski (Elblag)


	Olimpia Elbląg		Mławianka Mława

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.60	2.87
	2.08	3.45	2.8
	2.01	3.49	2.93
	2.07	3.7	2.95	Watch
	1.97	3.4	2.85
	2	3.62	3	Watch
	2.3	3.37	2.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.3)	3.52 ↑ (3.37)	2.84 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Olimpia Elbląg
43.3%

Draw
25.4%

Mławianka Mława
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

26.3%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

25.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Elbląg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Mławianka Mława has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Elbląg than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mławianka Mława than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Olimpia Elbląg - Mławianka Mława Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 13th and 15th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Elbląg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Elbląg has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Elbląg against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Olimpia Elblag	11	4	1	6	16:20	-4	13
15	Mlawa	11	3	1	7	22:32	-10	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Elbląg
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.10.26	ŁKS Łomża - Olimpia Elbląg	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Lechia Tomaszów Mazowiecki	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Weszło - Olimpia Elbląg	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Pelikan Łowicz	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Warta Sieradz - Olimpia Elbląg	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLWL
- Mławianka Mława
Polish Division 3 - Group I
03.10.26	Mławianka Mława - Świt Nowy Dwór Mazowiecki	2:4 ✺
25.09.26	Ząbkovia Ząbki - Mławianka Mława	3:4 ✺
19.09.26	Mławianka Mława - Troszyn	4:1 ✺
12.09.26	Jagiellonia II Białystok - Mławianka Mława	7:4 ✺
06.09.26	Mławianka Mława - ŁKS Łódź II	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group I
25.04.26	Olimpia Elbląg - Mławianka Mława	0:2
04.10.25	Mławianka Mława - Olimpia Elbląg	1:1

Olimpia Elbląg - Mławianka Mława: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide