Match Info

Date: 9 September 2020, Wednesday


	Orenburg		Shinnik

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.8	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.1	8
	1.23	4.5	10.5	Watch
	1.31	4.6	9.2
	1.41	4.16	9.17
	1.42	4	7.5	Watch
	1.46	4.25	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)	4.2 ↑ (3.6)	8.44 ↑ (7.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orenburg
67.1%

Draw
22%

Shinnik
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.9%

25.3%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.5%

20.7%

10.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orenburg's performance.

Shinnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orenburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shinnik than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Orenburg - Shinnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Premier League and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Orenburg in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shinnik is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Orenburg is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match Orenburg is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Orenburg won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg
Russian FNL
05.09.20	Fakel - Orenburg	0:2 ✺
30.08.20	Orenburg - Volgar Astrakhan	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.20	Orenburg - Alania Vladikavkaz	2:1 ✺
Russian FNL
22.08.20	Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg	0:1 ✺
16.08.20	Orenburg - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWT
- Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russian FNL
05.09.20	Shinnik - Chayka Peschanokopskoye	0:0 ✺
30.08.20	SKA Khabarovsk - Shinnik	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.20	Torpedo Moscow - Shinnik	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL
22.08.20	Shinnik - Veles Moscow	1:2 ✺
16.08.20	Baltika Kaliningrad - Shinnik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
15.04.18	Shinnik - Orenburg	0:0
24.09.17	Orenburg - Shinnik	1:0
27.03.16	Shinnik - Orenburg	0:1
Russian FNL Cup
23.02.16	Shinnik - Orenburg	0:1
Russian FNL
07.09.15	Orenburg - Shinnik	2:0
18.11.14	Orenburg - Shinnik	1:1
27.07.14	Shinnik - Orenburg	0:1

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