Match Info

Date: 17 September 2020, Thursday


	Osijek		Basel

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.15	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.3
	3	3.5	2.3	Watch
	2.85	3.35	2.19
	3.06	3.6	2.27
	2.88	3.4	2.2
	2.95	3.52	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↓ (3)	3.47 ↑ (3.43)	2.24 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Osijek
31.7%

Draw
26.8%

Basel
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

26.7%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

19.7%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Osijek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.7%	7.8%	76.5%

Osijek - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 8 - 15.7%). Basel will win (votes: 39 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 64.9% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

No spectators.

Osijek is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Basel is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Basel have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Osijek
Croatian HNL
12.09.20	Osijek - Rijeka	3:0 ✺
30.08.20	Dinamo Zagreb - Osijek	4:1 ✺
23.08.20	Osijek - Hajduk Split	1:2 ✺
15.08.20	Osijek - Slaven Belupo	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.08.20	Zalaegerszegi TE - Osijek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLTL
- FC Basel
Club Friendly
11.09.20	Basel - Saarbrücken	1:5 ✺
Swiss Cup
30.08.20	Basel - Young Boys	1:2 ✺
25.08.20	Basel - Winterthur	6:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.08.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Basel	4:1 ✺
06.08.20	Basel - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW

Upcoming Matches