Match Info

Date: 11 August 2020, Tuesday


	Shakhtar Donetsk		Basel

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.8	3.75
	1.91	3.75	3.8
	1.93	3.85	3.8
	1.94	3.6	3.6
	2.03	3.72	3.61
	1.95	3.7	3.6
	2.01	3.94	3.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.88)	3.77 ↑ (3.71)	3.73 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shakhtar Donetsk
49%

Draw
25.4%

Basel
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

25.8%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

20.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.1%	6%	6%

Shakhtar Donetsk - Basel Predictions

Users Predictions: Shakhtar Donetsk will win (280 of 318 users predict this - 88.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.48% – 91.62%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Neutral location - Veltins Arena. No spectators.

Shakhtar was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a good chance of semis (57%), has a chance of final (22%), has a small chance of win league (7%).

Basel was already of round of 32, was already of round of 16, was already of qtrs, has a chance of semis (43%), has a small chance of final (14%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

Shakhtar in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Basel is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shakhtar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Shakhtar is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Shakhtar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shakhtar Donetsk
UEFA Europa League
05.08.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Wolfsburg	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Veres Rivne	2:0 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
19.07.20	Oleksandriya - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:2 ✺
15.07.20	Shakhtar Donetsk - Kolos Kovalivka	2:0 ✺
12.07.20	Desna Chernihiv - Shakhtar Donetsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTWW
- FC Basel
UEFA Europa League
06.08.20	Basel - Eintracht Frankfurt	1:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
03.08.20	Basel - Luzern	0:0 ✺
31.07.20	Thun - Basel	0:0 ✺
26.07.20	Basel - Lugano	4:4 ✺
22.07.20	St. Gallen - Basel	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.07.15	Basel - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:3

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