Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 37

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Oxford City		Aldershot Town

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.53
	4.2	4	1.57
	5	4.5	1.55
	4.55	4.4	1.54
	5.09	4.56	1.58
	4.2	4.33	1.55
	4.76	4.33	1.57
	4.7	4.2	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (4.08)	4.32 ↑ (4.21)	1.55 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oxford City
19.7%

Draw
21.3%

Aldershot Town
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

21.9%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

21.8%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Aldershot Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldershot Town than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Oxford City - Aldershot Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Oxford City will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Aldershot will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Watson T. (G) 3. Phillips G. 23. Kabongolo B. 25. Birtwistle H. 6. Roddy J. 4. Ashby J. 8. Fleet R. 14. Parker J. 15. Smith R. 7. Coyle L. 16. Potter A.	1. van Stappershoef J. (G) 2. Mnoga H. 5. Rowe C. 3. Harfield O. 8. Frost T. 10. Stokes J. 11. Glover R. 7. O'Keefe S. 34. Tetek D. 26. Daly J. 9. Tolaj L.
Substitutes
13. Brzozowski M. (G) 11. Greenslade H. 20. Humphrey-Ewers L. 27. Lumeka L. 18. William-Bushell A.	13. Akpan A. 20. Barrett J. 23. Ghandour H. 39. Thomas K.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Oxford City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aldershot is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Aldershot is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Oxford City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford City
English National League
24.02.24	Gateshead - Oxford City	4:0 ✺
20.02.24	Oxford City - Eastleigh	2:5 ✺
17.02.24	Oxford City - Southend United	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Dagenham & Redbridge - Oxford City	7:1 ✺
06.02.24	Woking - Oxford City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LLTLL
- Aldershot Town
English National League
24.02.24	Southend United - Aldershot Town	4:1 ✺
20.02.24	Aldershot Town - Barnet	1:0 ✺
17.02.24	Aldershot Town - Altrincham	2:0 ✺
13.02.24	Aldershot Town - Fylde	0:5 ✺
03.02.24	Halifax Town - Aldershot Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League
05.08.23	Aldershot Town - Oxford City	5:2

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