Match Info

Championship - Round 33

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: St. Mary's Stadium (Southampton)

Referee: Busby J. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN 5
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 9, Free
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	myTV SUPER
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	FanCode, FanCode
Israel	Sport 3
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Portugal	Sport TV6
Serbia	Arena Sport 6
South-america	ESPN 5 South
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	Exxen
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5


	Southampton		Charlton Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.33	6	Watch
	1.53	4.33	6
	1.52	4.45	5.91	Watch
	1.59	4.17	5.62
	1.52	4.47	5.9	Watch
	1.53	4	5.5
	1.56	4.41	6.11	Watch
	1.57	4.2	5.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.49)	4.3 ↓ (4.39)	5.84 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southampton
61.7%

Draw
22.1%

Charlton Athletic
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

21.5%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

20.3%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Southampton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.8%	12.5%	16.7%

Southampton - Charlton Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. S`hampton will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). Charlton will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for S`hampton: 52.6% – 89%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Charlton (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Southampton will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. S`hampton (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Charlton (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Peretz D. (G) 14. Bree J. 5. Stephens J. (C) 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 3. Manning R. 4. Downes F. 24. Charles S. 18. Fellows T. 10. Azaz F. 13. Scienza L. 11. Stewart R.	1. Kaminski T. (G) 2. Ramsay K. 5. Jones L. 17. Bell A. 28. Sichenje C. 10. Docherty G. (C) 15. Coady C. 14. Carey S. 19. Chambers L. 7. Campbell T. 99. Dykes L.
Substitutes
19. Archer C. 48. Bragg C. 23. Edozie S. 20. Jander C. 38. Jelert E. 9. Larin C. 25. Long G. (G) 27. Matsuki K. 15. Wood N.	8. Berry L. 44. Clarke H. 6. Coventry C. 77. Fevrier J. 3. Gillesphey M. 23. Kelman C. 11. Leaburn M. 25. Mannion W. (G) 26. Rankin-Costello J.
Coaches
Eckert T.	Jones N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 0, Stewart R. ⚽, Scienza L. (A),
65', Charles S. ↓, Jander C. ↑,
66', Campbell T. ↓, Leaburn M. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Carey S. ⚽, Docherty G. (A),
71', Fellows T. ↓, Matsuki K. ↑,
72', Scienza L. ↓, Edozie S. ↑,
72', Stewart R. ↓, Larin C. ↑,
76', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
84', Downes F. 🟨,
85', Carey S. 🟨,
85', Dykes L. ↓, Kelman C. ↑,
85', Coady C. ↓, Coventry C. ↑,
85', Downes F. ↓, Bragg C. ↑,
90', Sichenje C. ↓, Clarke H. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 18).

S`hampton is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Charlton has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Charlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, S`hampton is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in S`hampton: Robinson J. (Thigh Injury) Roerslev Rasmussen M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Charlton: Edwards J. (Ankle Injury) Knibbs H. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in S`hampton: Jelert E. (Injury)

We predict that S`hampton will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, S`hampton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Outrights of English League Championship for now

Southampton: 9.9% Charlton: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Charlton	9	3	4	2	8:11	-3	13
16	Southampton	8	4	2	2	19:10	9	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southampton FC
English FA Cup
14.02.26	Southampton - Leicester City	2:1 ET ✺
English League Championship
10.02.26	Leicester City - Southampton	3:4 ✺
07.02.26	Southampton - Watford	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Stoke City - Southampton	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Portsmouth - Southampton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWT
- Charlton Athletic
English League Championship
17.02.26	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	1:3 ✺
11.02.26	Charlton Athletic - Stoke City	1:0 ✺
06.02.26	Charlton Athletic - Queens Park Rangers	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Leicester City - Charlton Athletic	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Millwall - Charlton Athletic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
22.11.25	Charlton Athletic - Southampton	1:5

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