The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pärnu Vaprus 47.7%
Draw 26.1%
Kuressaare 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
24.8%
24.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.5%
25.8%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Pärnu Vaprus - Kuressaare Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kuressaare will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
16. Nomm O. (C) 43. Seppik M. 28. Lipp M. 15. Aloe K. 90. Sild J. 8. Pajo T. 24. Villota M. 10. Viidas S. 17. Kapper S. 9. Poder J. 42. Limberg M.
31. Nomm K. (C) 23. Saar R. 36. Piil R. 21. Lukka M. 27. Prunn S. 5. Sinilaid S. 8. Andreas D. 17. Roivassepp G. 77. Demidov E. 11. Jurisoo T. 10. Kivi A.
Substitutes
5. Aer S. 64. Allas J. 11. Kauber K. 47. Kolvart S. 19. Korre A. 66. Nomm U. 14. Orm R. 3. Rand K. 86. Roosson R. 1. Vainu H. (G) 7. Vallik V.
18. Dzemesjuk M. 44. Joost O. 37. Leivategija M. 25. Lonks J. 28. Lukas R. 22. Ristna S. (G) 68. Vahermagi J. 70. Vahermagi J. 13. Visse A.
Coaches
Prins I.
Post S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Nomm K. 🟨,
4', 1 - 0, Pajo T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Poder J. 🟨,
67', Poder J. ↓, Vallik V. ↑,
72', Roivassepp G. ↓, Vahermagi J. ↑,
74', Vainu H. 🟨,
75', Piil R. 🟨,
75', Pajo T. 🟨,
79', Sinilaid S. ↓, Lukas R. ↑,
80', Pajo T. ↓, Orm R. ↑,
87', Lipp M. 🟨,
88', Villota M. ↓, Kolvart S. ↑,
88', Viidas S. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
88', Aloe K. ↓, Aer S. ↑,
90', Demidov E. ↓, Visse A. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 9 in the zone Meistriliiga (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Pärnu Vaprus is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 36:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.7:1.3).