Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA PORTUGAL - ROUND 20

Date: 26 January 2023, Thursday

Location: Estádio da Capital do Móvel (Paços de Ferreira)

Referee: Godinho L. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Ring
Finland	CMore Sport
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Paços de Ferreira		Benfica

	1	X	2
	17	7	1.17	Watch
	15	7	1.18
	15	6.5	1.16
	15	6.8	1.17
	17.76	7	1.2
	19	6.5	1.15
	16.25	7.3	1.16	Watch
	16	7.2	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.38 ↑ (12.03)	6.91 ↑ (6.14)	1.17 ↓ (1.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paços de Ferreira
5.8%

Draw
13.7%

Benfica
80.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

7.8%

15.3%

76.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paços de Ferreira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.1%	6.8%	85.1%

Paços de Ferreira - Benfica Predictions

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (63 of 74 users predict this - 85.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 93.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).

Paços de Ferreira has the most likely position - 18 (76.15%), has project points - 21, has currently - 6, has a good chance of relegated (94%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Benfica has the most likely position - 1 (69.2%), has project points - 83, has currently - 44, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (99%), has a good chance of win league (69%).

This event has quality 51, importance 59, match rating 55. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 0.

Paços de Ferreira is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Benfica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Benfica is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Paços de Ferreira: Ibrahim A. (Injury) Maracas (Red Card)

There will not play in Benfica: Rafa Silva (Injury)

Last 25 head-to-head matches Paços de Ferreira won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 22 matches and goals 11-59.

Including matches at home between the teams Paços de Ferreira won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 5-23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paços de Ferreira
Liga Portugal
21.01.23	Paços de Ferreira - Braga	1:2 ✺
14.01.23	Rio Ave - Paços de Ferreira	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Paços de Ferreira - Chaves	1:1 ✺
29.12.22	Sporting Lisbon - Paços de Ferreira	3:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
11.12.22	Braga - Paços de Ferreira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTLL
- SL Benfica
Liga Portugal
21.01.23	Santa Clara - Benfica	0:3 ✺
15.01.23	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
10.01.23	Varzim - Benfica	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.01.23	Benfica - Portimonense	1:0 ✺
30.12.22	Braga - Benfica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
30.08.22	Benfica - Paços de Ferreira	3:2
13.05.22	Paços de Ferreira - Benfica	0:2
09.01.22	Benfica - Paços de Ferreira	2:0
Taça de Portugal
19.11.21	Benfica - Paços de Ferreira	4:1
Liga Portugal
10.04.21	Paços de Ferreira - Benfica	0:5
06.12.20	Benfica - Paços de Ferreira	2:1
26.01.20	Paços de Ferreira - Benfica	0:2

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