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Augsburg - Holstein Kiel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Bundesliga - Round 32
  • Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday
  • Location: WWK Arena (Augsburg)
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Augsburg Holstein Kiel
    Augsburg Holstein Kiel
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.84 ↑
    (1.72)    		 3.85 ↓
    (4.04)    		 4.22 ↓
    (4.73)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

    • The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Augsburg
    52.3%    		Draw
    25%    		Holstein Kiel
    22.8%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    55.8% 23.8% 20.3%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    57.4% 23.1% 19.7%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Augsburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    70% 10% 20%

    Augsburg - Holstein Kiel Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Augsburg: 53.9% – 93.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 2 - 40%). Holstein Kiel (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Holstein Kiel (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Augsburg (1.46) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Augsburg (2.04) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Holstein Kiel (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. GermanyDahmen F. (G)
      5. FranceMatsima C.
      6. NetherlandsGouweleeuw J. (C)
    16. SwitzerlandZesiger C.
    11. GermanyWolf M.
    19. NigeriaOnyeka F.
    17. CroatiaJakic K.
    13. GreeceGiannoulis D.
    36. GermanyKomur M.
    20. FranceClaude-Maurice A.
      9. DREssende S.
    		21. GermanyDahne T. (G)
    17. GermanyBecker T. (C)
    26. SloveniaZec D.
      5. SwedenJohansson C.
    23. GermanyRosenboom L.
    37. BosniaGigovic A.
    22. GermanyRemberg N.
    47. USATolkin J.
      7. GermanySkrzybski S.
    11. SwedenBernhardsson A.
    18. JapanMachino S.
    Substitutes
      2. PolandGumny R.
    24. FinlandJensen F.
    44. GermanyKoudossou H.
    22. CroatiaLabrovic N. (G)
    10. GermanyMaier A.
    15. BeninMounie S.
      8. KosovoRexhbecaj E.
    31. GermanySchlotterbeck K.
    21. GermanyTietz P.
    		20. GermanyArp J.-F.
    14. GermanyGeschwill M.
    19. GermanyHarres P.
    10. GermanyHoltby L.
    33. SlovakiaJavorcek D.
    24. NorwayKnudsen M.
      8. GermanyPorath F.
    15. GermanySchulz M.
      1. GermanyWeiner T. (G)
    Coaches
         DenmarkThorup J.
    		     GermanyRapp M.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (0 - 2)
    • 25', 0 - 1, Machino S. (Pen),
    • 39', Machino S. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
    • 40', 0 - 2, Bernhardsson A. ⚽, Skrzybski S. (A),
    • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
    • 51', 0 - 3, Bernhardsson A. ⚽, Skrzybski S. (A),
    • 53', Zesiger C. ↓, Tietz P. ↑,
    • 54', Wolf M. ↓, Koudossou H. ↑,
    • 56', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
    • 63', Komur M. ↓, Maier A. ↑,
    • 63', Essende S. ↓, Mounie S. ↑,
    • 74', Gigovic A. ↓, Schulz M. ↑,
    • 74', Skrzybski S. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
    • 79', Onyeka F. ↓, Rexhbecaj E. ↑,
    • 85', Arp J.-F. 🟨,
    • 90', 1 - 3, Mounie S. ⚽, Tietz P. (A),
    • 90+4', Remberg N. 🟨,

    Preview

  • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
  • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
  • Holstein Kiel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • In this match, Augsburg is the team to beat.
  • There will not play in Augsburg: Banks N. (Muscle Injury) Berisha M. (Injury) Kabadayi Y. (Knee Injury) Kucuksahin M. (Injury) Oxford R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
  • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Ivezic M. (Yellow Cards) Kelati A. Y. (Thigh Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Komenda M. (Thigh Injury) Nekic I. (Knee Injury)
  • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - FC Augsburg
    German Bundesliga
    26.04.25 Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg 2:0 ✺
    20.04.25 Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:0 ✺
    12.04.25 Bochum - Augsburg 1:2 ✺
    04.04.25 Augsburg - Bayern Munich 1:3 ✺
    29.03.25 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3
    LTWLT
    - Holstein Kiel
    German Bundesliga
    26.04.25 Holstein Kiel - Borussia Mönchengladbach 4:3 ✺
    19.04.25 RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺
    12.04.25 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:2 ✺
    05.04.25 Mainz - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺
    29.03.25 Holstein Kiel - Werder Bremen 0:3 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19
    WTLTL
    Latest Head to Head
    German Bundesliga
    21.12.24 Holstein Kiel - Augsburg 5:1
    German DFB Pokal
    06.02.19 Holstein Kiel - Augsburg 0:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - FC Augsburg
    German Bundesliga
    10.10.26 Augsburg - Bayern Munich ✺
    - Holstein Kiel
    German 2 Bundesliga
    09.10.26 Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel ✺

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