Match Info

Date: 7 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Padova		Perugia

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	3.1
	2.5	2.8	2.85
	2.15	3.1	3
	2.42	2.75	2.95
	2.57	2.88	3.25
	2.45	3.1	2.9
	2.52	2.9	3.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.06)	2.9 ↓ (3.16)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
37.8%

Draw
31.6%

Perugia
30.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.7%

28.6%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

18.9%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Padova's form might have worsened.

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Padova than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Padova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Perugia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Padova - Perugia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Padova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Perugia in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Perugia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Perugia have a series of home games.

Padova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Padova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Padova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie C Group B
03.03.21	Virtus Verona - Padova	0:1 ✺
28.02.21	Padova - Cesena	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Padova	1:1 ✺
17.02.21	Padova - Arezzo	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Legnago Salus - Padova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTTWW
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
02.03.21	Perugia - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
27.02.21	Perugia - Modena	3:0 ✺
21.02.21	Vis Pesaro - Perugia	0:1 ✺
17.02.21	Perugia - Legnago Salus	4:0 ✺
07.02.21	Perugia - Mantova	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
11.11.20	Perugia - Padova	3:0
Italian Serie B
16.03.19	Padova - Perugia	0:1
30.10.18	Perugia - Padova	3:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Catanzaro - Padova	✺
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
31.10.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Perugia	✺

Padova - Perugia