Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 15

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Palencia CA		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.87	3.4
	1.96	2.9	4.1
	2.07	2.95	3.45
	2.04	2.94	4.05
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	1.97	3.08	3.82
	2.1	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.12)	2.93 ↓ (3)	3.66 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia CA
44.2%

Draw
31%

Ourense CF
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

30.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

23.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palencia CA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ourense CF could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Palencia CA - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 12).

The competitors look crappy now.

Palencia CA will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia CA
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
10.12.22	Burgos Promesas - Palencia CA	0:2 ✺
04.12.22	Palencia CA - Compostela	0:2 ✺
27.11.22	Marino de Luanco - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Palencia CA - Rayo Cantabria	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Palencia CA - Ibiza	0:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLTLL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
11.12.22	Ourense CF - Real Avilés	2:0 ✺
04.12.22	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
26.11.22	Ourense CF - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	1:2 ✺
19.11.22	Bergantiños - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Ourense CF - Alcorcón	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL

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