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Current Win Probability
Palmeiras 71%
Draw 19.2%
Vitória Salvador 9.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
71%
18.9%
10.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
74.1%
18.1%
9.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Palmeiras have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.8%
22.2%
0%
Palmeiras - Vitória Salvador Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 50.6% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palmeiras will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carlos Miguel (G) 12. Khellven 15. Gomez G. (C) 26. Murilo 22. Piquerez J. 8. Andreas Pereira 17. Marlon Freitas 40. Allan Elias 18. Mauricio 42. Lopez J. 9. Vitor Roque
22. Gabriel (G) 45. Nathan Mendes 5. Riccieli 77. Neris 3. Ze Marcos 13. Ramon 33. Erick 98. Caique Goncalves 44. Baralhas (C) 17. Cantalapiedra A. 23. Fabricio
Substitutes
3. Bruno Fuchs 11. Bruno Rodrigues 4. Giay A. 6. Jefte 48. Larson 30. Lucas Evangelista 31. Luighi 50. Luis Pacheco 14. Marcelo Lomba (G) 32. Martinez E. 37. Riquelme Fillipi 19. Sosa R.
4. Camutanga 21. Dudu 32. Emmanuel Martinez 63. Lawan 36. Luan Candido 7. Luis Miguel 95. Matheusinho 10. Matheuzinho 11. Osvaldo 62. Pablo 8. Ronald Lopes 71. Yuri (G)
Coaches
Abel Ferreira
Jair Ventura
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Murilo ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
25', Nathan Mendes 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Gomez G. ⚽, Murilo (A),
45+2', Allan Elias 🟨,
45+5', 3 - 0, Mauricio ⚽, Piquerez J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Nathan Mendes ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
46', Riccieli ↓, Dudu ↑,
49', Ramon 🟨,
52', Ze Marcos 🟨,
56', 3 - 1, Dudu ⚽, Fabricio (A),
63', 4 - 1, Allan Elias ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
64', Erick ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
69', Ze Marcos ↓, Luan Candido ↑,
72', Allan Elias ↓, Sosa R. ↑,
78', Fabricio ↓, Lawan ↑,
80', 5 - 1, Sosa R. ⚽, Andreas Pereira (A),
85', Mauricio ↓, Larson ↑,
85', Vitor Roque ↓, Luighi ↑,
85', Lopez J. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
90', Lawan 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 2.
Palmeiras has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Vitória is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Palmeiras is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Palmeiras: Felipe Anderson
(Inactive)
Figueiredo
(Inactive)
Lucas Evangelista
(Hamstring Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Vitória: Claudinho
(Knee Injury)
Edu
(Inactive)
Fintelman
(Hip Injury)
Lucas Arcanjo
(Knee Injury)
Ramos R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Vitória: Marinho
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 1.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.8:1.2).
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Brazil
Kosovo
Mexico
Portugal
Serbia
Turkey
Usa
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Carlos Miguel (G) 
Gomez G. (C) 
Piquerez J. 
Lopez J. 
Cantalapiedra A. 
Abel Ferreira 
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