Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 10

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Portelli D. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Paola Hibernians		Sliema Wanderers

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.25	1.82	Watch
	2.85	3.40	2.24	Watch
	3.94	3.73	1.79
	3.75	3.4	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.61 ↑ (2.92)	3.45 ↑ (3.15)	1.94 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paola Hibernians
25.6%

Draw
26.8%

Sliema Wanderers
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.5%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

27.6%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paola Hibernians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paola Hibernians's form might have worsened.

Sliema Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sliema Wanderers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sliema Wanderers than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sliema Wanderers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Paola Hibernians - Sliema Wanderers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sliema Wanderers (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Hibernians (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sliema Wanderers will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Hibernians (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sliema Wanderers (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Sacco H. (G) 4. Alfred S. 22. Bonnici D. 6. Caruana L. (C) 96. Charleston 27. Cleiton 13. Joao Teixeira 70. Lima M. 44. Pedrao 41. Pedro Cacho 16. Zammit A.	22. Al Tumi R. (G) 17. Bah M. 2. Borg J. 15. Gustavo Alcino 98. Miguel Baggio 31. Murilo Henrique 7. Overend A. 70. Pisani S. 9. Plut V. 12. Prsa R. 93. Thiaguinho
Substitutes
19. Abela L. 8. Attard A. 1. Branescu L. (G) 24. Camilleri C. (G) 9. Miullen 20. Muscat D. 2. Ohaka J. 18. Pablo Alves 15. Tabone M. 21. Vella D. 14. Xuereb D.	18. Agius E. 25. Agu E. (G) 11. Beerman M. 6. Belfiore J. F. 42. Diarra B. 94. Fernandinho 5. Frendo N. 1. Lauri F. (G) 10. Montebello L. 14. Nwoko K. 21. Strickland N.
Coaches
Nisevic B.	Zammit P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 1 - 0, Lima M. ⚽,
24', Pedro Cacho 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Miguel Baggio ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Bah M. ⚽,
41', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 🟨,
50', Cleiton 🟨,
66', Joao Teixeira ↓, Pablo Alves ↑,
67', Thiaguinho 🟨,
72', 🟨,
73', Bonnici D. ↓, Attard A. ↑,
77', Plut V. ↓, Fernandinho ↑,
84', 1 - 3, Bah M. ⚽,
86', Alfred S. ↓, Xuereb D. ↑,
86', Zammit A. ↓, Abela L. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Abela L. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Sliema Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sliema Wanderers has had a series of home games.

Sliema Wanderers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hibernians won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League
25.10.25	Valletta - Paola Hibernians	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Paola Hibernians - Floriana	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Hamrun Spartans - Paola Hibernians	2:0 ✺
23.09.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Paola Hibernians	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	Paola Hibernians - Naxxar Lions	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWW
- Sliema Wanderers
Maltese Premier League
26.10.25	Sliema Wanderers - Marsaxlokk	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sliema Wanderers - Hamrun Spartans	2:0 ✺
28.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Naxxar Lions	0:4 ✺
24.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Gżira United	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Sliema Wanderers - Valletta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
31.01.25	Sliema Wanderers - Paola Hibernians	2:3
23.11.24	Sliema Wanderers - Paola Hibernians	3:1
29.08.24	Paola Hibernians - Sliema Wanderers	0:0
07.04.24	Sliema Wanderers - Paola Hibernians	0:0
03.12.23	Paola Hibernians - Sliema Wanderers	0:1
05.02.22	Paola Hibernians - Sliema Wanderers	1:0
17.10.21	Sliema Wanderers - Paola Hibernians	0:3

Paola Hibernians - Sliema Wanderers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide