Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	Paris Saint-Germain		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	5.75
	1.55	4.5	5.5
	1.58	4.7	5.6
	1.58	4.5	5
	1.59	4.61	5.57
	1.55	4.33	5.8
	1.61	4.75	5.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.62)	4.56 ↑ (4.26)	5.58 ↑ (5.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
61.5%

Draw
21.2%

Manchester United
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

22.5%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.5%

18.4%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paris Saint-Germain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.6%	8%	11.4%

Paris Saint Germain - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: Paris Saint-Germain will win (212 of 263 users predict this - 80.61%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.83% – 85.39%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

No spectators.

PSG has a good chance of round of 16 (83%), has a good chance of qtrs (56%), has a chance of semis (35%), has a chance of final (20%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Man Utd has a chance of round of 16 (48%), has a chance of qtrs (23%), has a small chance of semis (10%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

PSG in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Man Utd is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

PSG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Man Utd have a series of guest games.

In this match PSG is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's PSG to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 3 head-to-head matches PSG won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams PSG won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
16.10.20	Nîmes - Paris Saint-Germain	0:4 ✺
02.10.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Angers	6:1 ✺
27.09.20	Reims - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
20.09.20	Nice - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
16.09.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Metz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
17.10.20	Newcastle United - Manchester United	1:4 ✺
04.10.20	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	1:6 ✺
English League Cup
30.09.20	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
26.09.20	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
22.09.20	Luton Town - Manchester United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
06.03.19	Paris Saint-Germain - Manchester United	1:3
12.02.19	Manchester United - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
International Champions Cup
29.07.15	Manchester United - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2

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