What is the expert prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Metz?

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Paris Saint-Germain vs Metz Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, February 21, 2026)

Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic, TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Paris Saint-Germain		Metz

	1	X	2
	1.13	9	15	Watch
	1.11	9.8	20	Watch
	1.12	11.13	19.98
	1.17	8.83	16.57	Watch
	1.13	9	17
	1.14	10.5	17.6	Watch
	1.15	8.5	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↑ (1.12)	9.54 ↓ (9.88)	17.31 ↑ (15.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
84.4%

Draw
10.1%

Metz
5.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.5%

9.6%

5.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.2%	10.3%	2.6%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 34 - 87.2%). Metz will win (votes: 1 - 2.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 76.7% – 97.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.25 - Metz (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - PSG (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paris Saint-Germain will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Metz (votes: 4 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Safonov M. (G) 2. Hakimi A. (C) 6. Zabarnyi I. 4. Beraldo L. 21. Hernandez L. 19. Lee Kang-In 33. Zaire-Emery W. 27. Fernandez D. 14. Doue D. 9. Ramos G. 29. Barcola B.	1. Fischer J. (G) 39. Kouao K. 5. Gbamin J. 15. Yegbe T. 38. Sane S. 97. Ballo-Toure F. 19. Michal L. 8. Traore B. 12. Toure A. 7. Tsitaishvili G. 30. Diallo H. (C)
Substitutes
30. Chevalier L. (G) 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 89. Marin R. (G) 5. Marquinhos 49. Mbaye I. 25. Mendes N. 87. Neves J. 51. Pacho W. 17. Vitinha	9. Abuashvili G. 40. Ba O. (G) 2. Colin M. 20. Deminguet J. 11. Kvilitaia G. 34. Mbala N. 4. Mboula U. 33. Munongo B. 70. Sarr B.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	Tavenot B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Doue D. ⚽, Zaire-Emery W. (A),
31', Gbamin J. 🟨,
45', Traore B. 🟨,
45+3', 2 - 0, Barcola B. ⚽, Ramos G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Doue D. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
63', Fernandez D. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
63', Lee Kang-In ↓, Vitinha ↑,
64', Barcola B. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
66', Kouao K. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
67', Michal L. ↓, Sarr B. ↑,
67', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Deminguet J. ↑,
77', 3 - 0, Ramos G. ⚽, Hernandez L. (A),
79', Toure A. ↓, Kvilitaia G. ↑,
88', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Mbala N. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 5.

PSG is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Metz has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

PSG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in PSG: Dembele O. (Calf Injury) Mayulu S. (Calf Injury) Ndjantou Q. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz F. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Metz: Guerti I. (Injury) Hein G. (Ankle Injury) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Stambouli B. (Injury) Sy P. (Concussion)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, PSG won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 45:11. (average 3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:2. (average 3.1:0.3).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
UEFA Champions League
17.02.26	Monaco - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
13.02.26	Rennes - Paris Saint-Germain	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	5:0 ✺
01.02.26	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWT
- FC Metz
French Ligue 1
15.02.26	Metz - Auxerre	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	Metz - Lille	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Angers - Metz	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Metz - Lyon	2:5 ✺
18.01.26	Strasbourg - Metz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
13.12.25	Metz - Paris Saint-Germain	2:3
19.05.24	Metz - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
20.12.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Metz	3:1
21.05.22	Paris Saint-Germain - Metz	5:0
22.09.21	Metz - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2
24.04.21	Metz - Paris Saint-Germain	1:3
16.09.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Metz	1:0

Paris Saint-Germain - Metz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide