Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Coote D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	03:30	Optus Sport
Belgium	17:30	VOOsport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:30	Arena Sport
Brazil	13:30	ESPN
Croatia	17:30	Arena Sport
Czech Republic	17:30	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	17:30	See, Viaplay
Finland	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	17:30	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	18:30	Nova Sports
India	22:00	STAR Sports Select 1
Malaysia	00:30	Astro
Netherlands	17:30	Viaplay
Norway	17:30	Viaplay
Poland	17:30	CANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
Portugal	16:30	Eleven Sports
Romania	18:30	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	17:30	Arena Sport
Slovenia	17:30	Arena Sport
Sweden	17:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	18:30	Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	16:30	Sky Sports


	Luton Town		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.83
	4	4	1.78
	4.05	4.2	1.82	Watch
	4.23	4.15	1.83
	4.15	4.09	1.84
	4	4	1.73
	4.39	4.13	1.83	Watch
	4	4.1	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.64)	4.08 ↑ (3.77)	1.81 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: USA Network (4K)

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
23.4%

Draw
23.5%

Manchester United
53%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.2%

25.3%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.8%	6.1%	84.1%

Luton Town - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (111 of 132 users predict this - 84.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.85% – 90.33%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 2. Osho G. 29. Bell A. 14. Chong T. 28. Lokonga A. S. 6. Barkley R. 45. Doughty A. 7. Ogbene C. 9. Morris C. (C) 10. Woodrow C.	24. Onana A. (G) 20. Dalot D. 19. Varane R. 5. Maguire H. 23. Shaw L. 37. Mainoo K. 18. Casemiro 17. Garnacho A. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 10. Rashford M. 11. Hojlund R.
Substitutes
8. Berry L. 16. Burke R. 18. Clark J. 12. Kabore I. 23. Krul T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 43. Nelson Z. 3. Potts D. 30. Townsend A.	4. Amrabat S. 21. Antony 1. Bayindir A. (G) 16. Diallo A. 14. Eriksen C. 35. Evans J. 62. Forson O. 2. Lindelof V. 39. McTominay S.
Coaches
Edwards R.	ten Hag E.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 6).

Luton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Man Utd is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Man Utd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Man Utd is a favorite.

There will not play in Luton: Andersen M. (Calf Injury) Lockyer T. (Heart Problems) Nakamba M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Malacia T. (Knee Injury) Martial A. (Surgery) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mount M. (Muscle Injury) Wan-Bissaka A. (Knock)

There are questionable in Luton: Hashioka D. (Injury) Onyedinma F. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Luton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English Premier League
10.02.24	Luton Town - Sheffield United	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Newcastle United - Luton Town	4:4 ✺
30.01.24	Luton Town - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
27.01.24	Everton - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
16.01.24	Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.1 LTWWW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
11.02.24	Aston Villa - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Manchester United - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
01.02.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	3:4 ✺
English FA Cup
28.01.24	Newport County - Manchester United	2:4 ✺
English Premier League
14.01.24	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
11.11.23	Manchester United - Luton Town	1:0
English League Cup
22.09.20	Luton Town - Manchester United	0:3

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