Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Kenilworth Road (Luton)

Referee: Coote D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Belgium	VOOsport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
Denmark	See, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top event
Greece	Nova Sports
India	STAR Sports Select 1
Malaysia	Astro
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	CANAL+ Sport, Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Sky Sports


	Luton Town		Manchester United

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.83
	4	4	1.78
	4.05	4.2	1.82	Watch
	4.23	4.15	1.83
	4.15	4.09	1.84
	4	4	1.73
	4.39	4.13	1.83	Watch
	4	4.1	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.64)	4.08 ↑ (3.77)	1.81 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: USA Network (4K)

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Current Win Probability

Luton Town
23.4%

Draw
23.5%

Manchester United
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

25.3%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.8%	6.1%	84.1%

Luton Town - Manchester United Predictions

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (111 of 132 users predict this - 84.09%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.85% – 90.33%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Kaminski T. (G) 15. Mengi T. 2. Osho G. 29. Bell A. 14. Chong T. 28. Lokonga A. S. 6. Barkley R. 45. Doughty A. 7. Ogbene C. 9. Morris C. (C) 10. Woodrow C.	24. Onana A. (G) 20. Dalot D. 19. Varane R. 5. Maguire H. 23. Shaw L. 37. Mainoo K. 18. Casemiro 17. Garnacho A. 8. Fernandes B. (C) 10. Rashford M. 11. Hojlund R.
Substitutes
8. Berry L. 16. Burke R. 18. Clark J. 12. Kabore I. 23. Krul T. (G) 17. Mpanzu P. 43. Nelson Z. 3. Potts D. 30. Townsend A.	4. Amrabat S. 21. Antony 1. Bayindir A. (G) 16. Diallo A. 14. Eriksen C. 35. Evans J. 62. Forson O. 2. Lindelof V. 39. McTominay S.
Coaches
Edwards R.	ten Hag E.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 6).

Luton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Man Utd is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Man Utd could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Man Utd is a favorite.

There will not play in Luton: Andersen M. (Calf Injury) Lockyer T. (Heart Problems) Nakamba M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Man Utd: Malacia T. (Knee Injury) Martial A. (Surgery) Martinez Li. (Knee Injury) Mount M. (Muscle Injury) Wan-Bissaka A. (Knock)

There are questionable in Luton: Hashioka D. (Injury) Onyedinma F. (Muscle Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Luton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Luton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luton Town
English Premier League
10.02.24	Luton Town - Sheffield United	1:3 ✺
03.02.24	Newcastle United - Luton Town	4:4 ✺
30.01.24	Luton Town - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
27.01.24	Everton - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
16.01.24	Bolton Wanderers - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 33.1 LTWWW
- Manchester United
English Premier League
11.02.24	Aston Villa - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Manchester United - West Ham United	3:0 ✺
01.02.24	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Manchester United	3:4 ✺
English FA Cup
28.01.24	Newport County - Manchester United	2:4 ✺
English Premier League
14.01.24	Manchester United - Tottenham Hotspur	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
11.11.23	Manchester United - Luton Town	1:0
English League Cup
22.09.20	Luton Town - Manchester United	0:3

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