Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Parma		Alessandria

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.6	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.5
	2.05	3.35	3.5
	2.07	3.2	3.45
	2.15	3.55	3.56
	2.05	3.25	3.6
	2.07	3.52	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.88)	3.38 ↓ (3.44)	3.54 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Parma
45.5%

Draw
27.9%

Alessandria
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

27.4%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

29.2%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Parma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alessandria, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	20%	8%

Parma - Alessandria Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 18 - 72%). Alessandria will win (votes: 2 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 54.4% – 89.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out)).

Parma has the most likely position - 13 (60.23%), has project points - 49, has currently - 45, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of prom. playoffs.

Alessandria has the most likely position - 16 (61.02%), has project points - 35, has currently - 33, has a chance of relegated (32%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has small quality 27, small importance 17, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Parma will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Parma won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Parma won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Parma
Italian Serie B
25.04.22	Perugia - Parma	2:1 ✺
18.04.22	Parma - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
11.04.22	Brescia - Parma	1:0 ✺
06.04.22	Parma - Como	4:3 ✺
02.04.22	Nuova Cosenza - Parma	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWW
- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie B
25.04.22	Alessandria - Reggina	0:0 ✺
18.04.22	Cittadella - Alessandria	1:2 ✺
09.04.22	Alessandria - Pordenone	2:0 ✺
05.04.22	Cremonese - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
02.04.22	Alessandria - SPAL	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
19.12.21	Alessandria - Parma	0:2
Italian Lega Pro - Promotion
17.06.17	Parma - Alessandria	2:0

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