Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 31 August 2023, Thursday

Location: Elbasan Arena (Elbasani)

Referee: Bitigen A. (Tur)


	Partizani Tirana		Astana

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.2	Watch
				Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.2
	3.2	3.3	2.23
	3.31	3.3	2.28
	3.2	3.42	2.2	Watch
	3.35	3.45	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.6)	3.36 ↓ (3.4)	2.22 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Partizani Tirana
29.2%

Draw
28.2%

Astana
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

28%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

27.8%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Partizani Tirana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Partizani Tirana's form might have worsened.

Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Astana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizani Tirana than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Partizani Tirana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	21.1%	52.6%

Partizani Tirana - Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Partizani will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Astana will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Astana: 30.1% – 75.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Qirko P. (G) 44. Hadroj A. 28. Sota E. 17. Kocijan M. 3. Atanaskoski D. 88. Bilalli S. 14. Gueye M. 99. Rrapaj A. 21. Murataj V. (C) 22. Cara T. 24. Bintsouka A.	93. Condric J. (G) 15. Beysebekov A. (C) 22. Marochkin A. 45. Amanovic A. 13. Hovhannisyan K. 7. Ebong M. 44. Loncar S. 23. Ourega F. 6. Vorogovskiy Y. 10. Tomasov M. 88. Darboe D.
Substitutes
26. Buxhelaj P. 5. Bytyci A. 11. Grezda E. 12. Hoxha A. (G) 10. Keko A. 20. Kote G. 90. Mba C. 23. Preka M. 27. Taipi G. 6. Zekolli L.	21. Astanov E. 17. Aymbetov A. 72. Basmanov S. 11. Darabayev A. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 3. Haroyan V. 29. Jovancic D. 8. Kuat I. 31. Podymskiy D. (G) 20. Prokopenko V. 33. Tomasevic Z. 55. Zarutskiy A. (G)
Coaches
Zekic Z.	Babayan G.

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Elbasan Arena. 1st leg result: 0-1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Partizani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Astana will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Partizani won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Partizani Tirana
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Astana - Partizani Tirana	1:0 ✺
17.08.23	Partizani Tirana - Valmiera	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Roma - Partizani Tirana	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.08.23	Valmiera - Partizani Tirana	1:2 ✺
01.08.23	Partizani Tirana - Atlètic Escaldes	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWLWW
- FC Astana
Kazakh Premier League
27.08.23	Kairat - Astana	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Astana - Partizani Tirana	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
20.08.23	Astana - Kaisar	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.08.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Astana	5:1 ✺
08.08.23	Astana - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
24.08.23	Astana - Partizani Tirana	1:0

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