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Current Win Probability
Patriotas 27.2%
Draw 31.4%
Deportes Tolima 41.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.5%
29.4%
48.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.1%
28.9%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patriotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportes Tolima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patriotas than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Patriotas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes Tolima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Patriotas - Deportes Tolima Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Valencia J. (G) 21. Guerrero J. 4. Alarcon A. (C) 20. Ruiz D. 25. De Las Salas C. 30. Paternina C. 28. Garcia J. 24. Victoria Palacios D. S. 27. Melendez A. 10. Viveros J. 22. Londono F.
1. Cuesta W. (G) 26. Hurtado Torres Y. D. 2. Angulo A. 4. Simarra A. 24. Angulo J. 6. Trujillo C. (C) 80. Rovira B. 28. Miranda L. 10. Guzman Y. 18. Perez K. 9. Cortes C.
Substitutes
13. Aristizabal Juan 16. Correa B. 14. De La Cruz Mangas J. 11. Gomez M. 7. Moreno S. 9. Rodriguez J. 1. Roman S. (G)
11. Bone F. 12. Chaverra J. (G) 20. Hernandez J. 7. Lopez F. 33. Lucumi J. 15. Nieto J. 60. Rosales Y.
Coaches
Perez D.
Gonzalez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Perez K. ⚽, Angulo A. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Londono F. ⚽, De Las Salas C. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Victoria Palacios D. S. ⚽, Melendez A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Miranda L. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
46', Cortes C. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
46', Angulo J. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
56', Rovira B. 🟨,
62', Rovira B. ↓, Nieto J. ↑,
76', Valencia J. 🟨,
76', Londono F. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
85', Paternina C. ↓, Aristizabal Juan ↑,
85', Melendez A. ↓, Moreno S. ↑,
89', Hernandez J. 🟨,
90+2', Angulo A. 🟨,
90+3', Victoria Palacios D. S. ↓, Correa B. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 1.
Patriotas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Deportes Tolima is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Deportes Tolima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Deportes Tolima will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Patriotas won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 17:23 (average 0.9:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Patriotas won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:5 (average 1:0.6).
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Valencia J. (G) 
De La Cruz Mangas J. 
Bone F. 
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