Match Info

FRANCE: COUPE DE FRANCE - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 5 January 2024, Friday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports
Portugal	Sport TV


	Pau		Nantes

	1	X	2
	4.33	4	1.73	Watch
	4	3.6	1.77
	4.33	3.75	1.75	Watch
	4.7	3.85	1.79
	4.94	3.93	1.72
	4	3.6	1.7
	4.29	3.96	1.71
	4.1	3.8	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.34 ↑ (3.71)	3.81 ↑ (3.5)	1.74 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
21.6%

Draw
24.6%

Nantes
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

26.3%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

24.9%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nantes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	0%	90.9%

Pau - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: Nantes will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jeannin M. (G) 3. Boto K. 4. Ahoussou A. 5. Ruiz J. 2. Obiang J. 9. Sylla M. 6. Kante 7. Mouton L. 11. Bassouamina M. 8. Saivet H. 10. Boutaib K.	1. Lafont A. (G) 4. Pallois N. 3. Comert E. 5. Duverne J. 2. Coco M. 6. Sissoko M. 7. Augusto D. 9. Merlin Q. 10. Mollet F. 8. Chirivella P. 11. Traore B.
Substitutes
17. Batisse A. 15. Boli C. 14. Chahiri M. 20. Colleaux T. 12. Djitte P. 16. Kamara B. (G) 18. Kouassi L.X. 19. Koudou T. 13. Njoh Y.	18. Abline M. 19. Affamah J. 14. Bamba K. 20. Boutsingkham H. 16. Centonze F. 12. Descamps R. (G) 15. Diack L. 17. Kadewere T. 13. Zeze N.

Preview

Pau is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nantes is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Nantes is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Pau - Troyes	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Laval - Pau	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Coulaines - Pau	1:5 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Pau - Valenciennes	3:1 ✺
02.12.23	Pau - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTWWT
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
20.12.23	Lyon - Nantes	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Nantes - Brest	0:2 ✺
09.12.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes	2:1 ✺
02.12.23	Nantes - Nice	1:0 ✺
26.11.23	Nantes - Le Havre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLWT

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