Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 23

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday

Location: Nouste Camp (Pau)

Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Pau		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.25	Watch
	1.88	3.55	4.63
	1.76	3.53	4.69	Watch
	1.85	3.25	4
	1.89	3.46	4.28	Watch
	1.77	3.5	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.95)	3.44 ↑ (3.43)	4.36 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pau
51.3%

Draw
27.2%

Boulogne
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

27.2%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.7%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	16.7%	27.8%

Pau - Boulogne Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Boulogne will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 38.8% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Pau (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pau will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Raveyre N. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 97. Meddah D. 23. Briancon A. 25. Ruiz J. (C) 3. Kalulu J. 84. Touzghar R. 21. Beusnard S. 20. Anziani J. 10. Versini G. 17. Sissoko O.	99. Noukeu B. (G) 18. Thiam D. 25. Gourville S. (C) 15. Pinot A. 12. Boyer J. 90. Martin J. 10. El Farissi A. 21. Platret A. 19. Binet N. 97. Moco Z. 9. Lecolier M.
Substitutes
14. Bobichon A. 9. Dong K. 19. Kante 4. Karamoko S. 18. Sadik O. 30. Salles E. (G) 87. Zuliani E.	14. Bultel J. 26. Capuano G. 22. Duflos S. 23. Fatar N. 16. Kone I. (G) 77. Kouassi E. 5. Zohore N.
Coaches
Debes T.	Dagneaux F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', El Farissi A. 🟨,
37', Boyer J. 🟨,
42', Beusnard S. 🟥,
43', Noukeu B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Debes T. 🟨,
49', Gourville S. 🟨,
60', Kalulu J. 🟨,
60', Sissoko O. ↓, Sadik O. ↑,
64', Moco Z. ↓, Fatar N. ↑,
65', Martin J. ↓, Bultel J. ↑,
67', 0 - 1, Lecolier M. ⚽, El Farissi A. (A),
70', Meddah D. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
79', Boyer J. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
79', Lecolier M. ↓, Capuano G. ↑,
81', Anziani J. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, El Farissi A. ⚽, Bultel J. (A),
88', El Farissi A. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,
90+2', 1 - 2, Bobichon A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Pau is the team to beat.

There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J. (Inactive) Glossoa N. (Injury)

There will not play in Boulogne: Boiteau L. (Inactive) Burlet V. (Inactive) Fatou C. (Inactive) Keita S. (Inactive) Uriev A. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pau won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Boulogne: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	6:6	0	8
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3:5	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
06.02.26	Red Star - Pau	0:3 ✺
30.01.26	Laval - Pau	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Pau - Grenoble	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Dunkerque - Pau	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Pau - Rodez	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTLT
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
06.02.26	Boulogne - Rodez	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Saint-Étienne - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
24.01.26	Red Star - Boulogne	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Boulogne - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
03.01.26	Guingamp - Boulogne	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
19.09.25	Boulogne - Pau	0:3
French Ligue 3
20.12.19	Boulogne - Pau	0:0
21.03.19	Boulogne - Pau	1:1
19.10.18	Pau - Boulogne	3:1
20.04.18	Boulogne - Pau	1:1
08.12.17	Pau - Boulogne	2:3
10.02.17	Pau - Boulogne	0:0

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