Match Info

Date: 14 December 2021, Tuesday


	Penafiel		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.75	4.6	1.36
	8.75	4.85	1.34
	8.4	4.7	1.3
	8.82	5.01	1.33
	8.5	4.6	1.3	Watch
	8.3	5.2	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.75 ↑ (8.43)	4.83 ↓ (5.13)	1.33 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Penafiel
10.6%

Draw
19.3%

Sporting Lisbon
70.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.1%

18.2%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.8%

16.1%

80.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Penafiel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sporting could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sporting is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Penafiel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Penafiel
Portuguese Liga 2
11.12.21	Feirense - Penafiel	1:2 ✺
05.12.21	Penafiel - Académica Coimbra	0:0 ✺
27.11.21	Varzim - Penafiel	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.11.21	Penafiel - Portimonense	0:3 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
07.11.21	Penafiel - Leixões	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWLT
- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
11.12.21	Sporting Lisbon - Boavista	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
07.12.21	Ajax - Sporting Lisbon	4:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
03.12.21	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ✺
28.11.21	Sporting Lisbon - Tondela	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.11.21	Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
09.03.15	Sporting Lisbon - Penafiel	3:2
04.10.14	Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon	0:4
Portuguese League Cup
25.01.14	Penafiel - Sporting Lisbon	1:3

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