Match Info

Date: 7 December 2021, Tuesday


	Ajax		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.5	10
	1.25	6.75	10
	1.26	6.75	11.5
	1.25	6.8	9.6
	1.28	6.33	9.87
	1.24	6.5	10
	1.26	7.1	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.54)	6.68 ↑ (4.29)	10.28 ↑ (5.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajax
76.3%

Draw
14.4%

Sporting Lisbon
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

22.2%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

13.1%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajax's performance.

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajax than the current prediction. (-39.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajax that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sporting Lisbon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.8%	7.2%	12%

Ajax - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: Ajax will win (101 of 125 users predict this - 80.8%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.9% – 87.7%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ajax has currently - 15, was already of 1st, has not chance of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a good chance of qtrs (69%), has a chance of semis (40%), has a chance of final (22%), has a small chance of win league (11%).

Sporting has currently - 9, has not chance of 1st, was already of 2nd, has not chance of 3rd, was already of round of 16, has a chance of qtrs (26%), has a small chance of semis (7%), has a very small chance of final (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team during the last matches got a chain of wins.

In this match Ajax is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ajax won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajax Amsterdam
Dutch Eredivisie
02.12.21	Ajax - Willem II	5:0 ✺
28.11.21	Sparta Rotterdam - Ajax	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.11.21	Beşiktaş - Ajax	1:2 ✺
Dutch Eredivisie
21.11.21	Waalwijk - Ajax	0:5 ✺
07.11.21	Ajax - Go Ahead Eagles	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWT
- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
03.12.21	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	1:3 ✺
28.11.21	Sporting Lisbon - Tondela	2:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.11.21	Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.11.21	Sporting Lisbon - Varzim	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
07.11.21	Paços de Ferreira - Sporting Lisbon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
15.09.21	Sporting Lisbon - Ajax	1:5

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