The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Monza 43.8%
Draw 31.2%
Perugia 25.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
29.1%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
22.1%
20.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Monza - Perugia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
Monza has the most likely position - 1 (16.79%), has project points - 67, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (57%), has a chance of promoted (45%), has a chance of win league (17%).
Perugia has the most likely position - 11 (11.66%), has project points - 52, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a very small chance of promoted (4%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Monza in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Perugia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Perugia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Watch
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