Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 37

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: The Valley (London)

Referee: Nield T. (Eng)


	Charlton Athletic		Carlisle United

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	6
	1.51	4.2	5.75
	1.5	4.33	6
	1.52	4.35	6.51
	1.53	4.36	6.51
	1.5	4.2	6
	1.53	4.3	6.05	Watch
	1.46	4.3	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)	4.3 ↑ (4.07)	6.08 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlton Athletic
62.5%

Draw
22%

Carlisle United
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

22.9%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

22.4%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlton Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlton Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	0%	30%

Charlton Athletic - Carlisle United Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Charlton will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Carlisle will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlton: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Isted H. (G) 47. Edmonds-Green R. 3. Thomas T. 27. Gillesphey M. 18. Watson T. 33. Anderson K. 40. Coventry C. 4. Dobson G. (C) 26. Small T. 29. Kanu D. 9. May A.	40. Lewis H. (G) 18. Ellis J. 5. Lavelle S. 6. Huntington P. (C) 22. Mellish J. 3. Armer J. 21. McGeouch D. 33. Neal H. 15. Charters T. 35. Armstrong L. 27. Diamond J.
Substitutes
32. Asiimwe N. 30. Bakinson T. 20. Campbell T. 6. Hector M. 14. Ladapo F. 1. Maynard-Brewer A. (G) 31. Wickham C.	13. Breeze G. (G) 11. Butterworth D. 32. Emmanuel J. 7. Gibson J. 24. Maguire S. 10. McCalmont A. 19. Robinson J.
Coaches
Jones N.	Simpson P.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Charlton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carlisle is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Carlisle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Charlton have a series of guest games.

In this match Charlton is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Charlton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlton Athletic
English League One
05.03.24	Cheltenham Town - Charlton Athletic	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Northampton Town - Charlton Athletic	1:1 ✺
27.02.24	Derby County - Charlton Athletic	1:2 ✺
24.02.24	Charlton Athletic - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Bolton Wanderers - Charlton Athletic	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WTWTT
- Carlisle United
English League One
02.03.24	Carlisle United - Reading	1:3 ✺
27.02.24	Burton Albion - Carlisle United	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	Bristol Rovers - Carlisle United	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Carlisle United - Cambridge United	0:4 ✺
10.02.24	Carlisle United - Portsmouth	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
25.11.23	Carlisle United - Charlton Athletic	1:1
14.04.12	Carlisle United - Charlton Athletic	N/A

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