Match Info

League One - Round 35

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Sixfields Stadium (Northampton)

Referee: Rock D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Northampton Town		Peterborough United

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.7	2.35
	2.5	3.6	2.5
	2.58	3.7	2.42
	2.64	3.86	2.5
	2.65	3.58	2.46	Watch
	2.5	3.5	2.4
	2.61	3.71	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.88)	3.66 ↑ (3.41)	2.43 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northampton Town
36.2%

Draw
25.5%

Peterborough United
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

27.4%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

26.9%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Northampton Town - Peterborough United Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Peterborough will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peterborough: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Northampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Peterborough (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burge L. (G) 2. Burroughs J. 24. Moore E. 18. Forbes M. 7. Hoskins S. (C) 23. Taylor T. 4. Campbell D. 21. Perkins J. 15. Evans J. 9. Eaves T. 14. Fornah T.	1. Bass A. (G) 33. Dornelly J. 30. Kioso P. 26. Okagbue D. 2. Johnston C. (C) 4. Collins A. 8. Khela B. 11. Frith D. 24. Morgan J. 17. Lisbie K. 27. Leonard H.
Substitutes
35. Dyche M. 34. Fitzsimons R. (G) 17. Jacobs M. 10. List E. 26. McAdam K. 3. McCarthy C. 11. Swyer K.	39. Aderoju O. 18. Hayes C. 34. Kamara D. 32. Mendonca L. 15. Nevett G. 31. Smith B. (G) 42. Sykut P.
Coaches
Nolan K.	Williams L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', Evans J. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Eaves T. ⚽, Fornah T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Morgan J. ⚽, Lisbie K. (A),
60', Frith D. 🟨,
64', Morgan J. 🟨,
69', Frith D. ↓, Hayes C. ↑,
71', Eaves T. ↓, List E. ↑,
84', Hoskins S. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 2.

Northampton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Peterborough has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Northampton: Edwards K. (Injury) Guthrie J. (Inactive) Shaw L. (Knee Injury) Wormleighton J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Peterborough: Adebisi R. (Knee Injury) Garbett M. (Inactive) Lees T. (Inactive) Mendy J. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Peterborough: Hughes S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Mills H. (Inactive) Woods B. (Inactive)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Northampton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 13:30. (average 0.9:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Northampton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:11. (average 0.6:1.6).

Outrights of English League One for now

Peterborough: 0.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Peterborough	9	2	2	5	7:14	-7	8

Last Results with these Odds

Northampton Town - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.4%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northampton Town
English League One
24.02.26	Northampton Town - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Northampton Town - Leyton Orient	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Lincoln City - Northampton Town	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Exeter City - Northampton Town	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
10.02.26	AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLTW
- Peterborough United
English League One
21.02.26	Peterborough United - Exeter City	3:3 ✺
17.02.26	Barnsley - Peterborough United	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Bradford City - Peterborough United	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Mansfield Town - Peterborough United	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Peterborough United - Wigan Athletic	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
13.12.25	Peterborough United - Northampton Town	2:1
05.04.25	Peterborough United - Northampton Town	0:4
English EFL Trophy
17.12.24	Peterborough United - Northampton Town	3:0
English League One
09.12.24	Northampton Town - Peterborough United	2:1
05.03.24	Peterborough United - Northampton Town	5:1
19.08.23	Northampton Town - Peterborough United	1:0
16.04.21	Peterborough United - Northampton Town	3:1

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