Match Info

Date: 1 March 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Crystal Palace		Stoke City

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	5.25	Watch
	1.58	4	5.5
	1.63	3.95	5.8	Watch
	1.62	3.85	5.2
	1.67	3.84	5.89
	1.57	3.8	6.5	Watch
	1.66	4.05	5.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.72)	3.9 ↑ (3.68)	5.69 ↑ (4.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crystal Palace
58.8%

Draw
24.4%

Stoke City
16.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.2%

25.7%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

16.4%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-23.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crystal Palace that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stoke City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Crystal Palace - Stoke City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Crystal Palace won 4.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Crystal Palace is absolute favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Crystal Palace won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 19-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Crystal Palace won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
26.02.22	Crystal Palace - Burnley	1:1 ✺
23.02.22	Watford - Crystal Palace	1:4 ✺
19.02.22	Crystal Palace - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Brentford - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
09.02.22	Norwich City - Crystal Palace	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLTT
- Stoke City
English League Championship
26.02.22	Bournemouth - Stoke City	2:1 ✺
23.02.22	Stoke City - Luton Town	1:2 ✺
19.02.22	Stoke City - Birmingham City	2:2 ✺
12.02.22	Nottingham Forest - Stoke City	2:2 ✺
08.02.22	Stoke City - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
05.05.18	Stoke City - Crystal Palace	1:2
25.11.17	Crystal Palace - Stoke City	2:1
11.02.17	Stoke City - Crystal Palace	1:0
18.09.16	Crystal Palace - Stoke City	4:1
07.05.16	Crystal Palace - Stoke City	2:1
English FA Cup
30.01.16	Crystal Palace - Stoke City	1:0
English Premier League
19.12.15	Stoke City - Crystal Palace	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crystal Palace
English Premier League
31.10.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Crystal Palace	✺
English League Cup
28.10.26	Fulham - Crystal Palace	✺
- Stoke City
English League Championship
03.11.26	Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City	✺
31.10.26	Stoke City - Preston North End	✺

Crystal Palace - Stoke City