Match Info

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 24

Date: 29 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Kassam Stadium (Oxford)

Referee: Webb D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Net4+


	Oxford United		Plymouth Argyle

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.88	3.6	4
	1.9	3.54	4.12	Watch
	1.88	3.77	4.1
	1.84	3.66	4.27	Watch
	1.85	3.6	4
	1.85	3.74	4.11	Watch
	1.9	3.54	4.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2)	3.63 ↑ (3.63)	4.1 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Oxford United
50.8%

Draw
26.1%

Plymouth Argyle
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

26%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

25.6%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Oxford United - Plymouth Argyle Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oxford: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cumming J. (G) 2. Long S. 5. Moore E. (C) 3. Brown C. 22. Leigh G. 4. Vaulks W. 8. Brannagan C. 7. Placheta P. 20. Rodrigues R. 19. Goodrham T. 9. Harris M.	21. Hazard C. (G) 2. Mumba B. 6. Szucs K. 17. Gibson L. (C) 22. Galloway B. 20. Randell A. 10. Whittaker M. 18. Gyabi D. 28. Al Hajj R. 29. Sorinola M. 9. Hardie R.
Substitutes
23. Dembele S. 29. Edwards K. 15. El Mizouni I. 21. Ingram M. (G) 30. Kioso P. 10. Phillips M. 44. Scarlett D. 14. Sibley L. 24. ter Avest H.	39. Finn T. 19. Gray A. 31. Grimshaw D. (G) 4. Houghton J. 35. Issaka F. 3. Ogbeta N. 44. Palsson V. 5. Pleguezuelo J. 34. Roberts C.
Coaches
Rowett G.	Rooney W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Brown C. ⚽, Goodrham T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Al Hajj R. ↓, Roberts C. ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Placheta P. ⚽, Rodrigues R. (A),
65', Sorinola M. 🟨,
65', 🟨,
68', Galloway B. ↓, Finn T. ↑,
72', Placheta P. ↓, El Mizouni I. ↑,
72', Placheta P. ↓, El Mizouni I. ↑,
73', Roberts C. 🟨,
80', Whittaker M. ↓, Gray A. ↑,
86', Goodrham T. ↓, ter Avest H. ↑,
86', Harris M. ↓, Scarlett D. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oxford won 1.

Oxford is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Plymouth has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Oxford is a favorite.

There will not play in Oxford: Bennett J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Plymouth: Edwards J. (Hamstring Injury) Wright C. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Oxford: Edwards K. (Injury) Nelson B. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Oxford won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 28:23 (average 1.4:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Oxford won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:11 (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oxford United
English League Championship
26.12.24	Oxford United - Cardiff City	3:2 ✺
21.12.24	Leeds United - Oxford United	4:0 ✺
14.12.24	Oxford United - Sheffield Wednesday	1:3 ✺
11.12.24	Queens Park Rangers - Oxford United	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Oxford United - Millwall	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLLT
- Plymouth Argyle
English League Championship
26.12.24	Coventry City - Plymouth Argyle	4:0 ✺
21.12.24	Plymouth Argyle - Middlesbrough	3:3 ✺
14.12.24	Sheffield United - Plymouth Argyle	2:0 ✺
10.12.24	Plymouth Argyle - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Bristol City - Plymouth Argyle	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
14.02.23	Oxford United - Plymouth Argyle	1:3
13.09.22	Plymouth Argyle - Oxford United	1:0
02.04.22	Plymouth Argyle - Oxford United	1:0
16.10.21	Oxford United - Plymouth Argyle	1:3
24.04.21	Oxford United - Plymouth Argyle	3:1
29.12.20	Plymouth Argyle - Oxford United	2:3
01.01.19	Plymouth Argyle - Oxford United	3:0

Upcoming Matches