Match Info

ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 6

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Pohang Steel Yard (Pohang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 1, SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Hong-kong	HOY TV
India	FanCode, FanCode, Sports18 3, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Sport+
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Montenegro	SportKlub
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 1, SportKlub 2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-korea	Tving
Spain	LaLiga+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Onefootball, Triller TV+


	Pohang Steelers		Vissel Kobe

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.3	3.6
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.13	3.37	3.57
	2.07	3.47	3.39	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	2.08	3.5	3.51	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.4)	3.39 ↑ (3.37)	3.5 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pohang Steelers
45.6%

Draw
27.6%

Vissel Kobe
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

28%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pohang Steelers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pohang Steelers's performance.

Vissel Kobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vissel Kobe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pohang Steelers than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pohang Steelers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vissel Kobe than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vissel Kobe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

Pohang Steelers - Vissel Kobe Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Pohang will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Vissel Kobe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yun Pyeong-guk (G) 2. Eo Jeong-Won 34. Lee Gyu-Baeg 4. Jeon Min-kwang 26. Lee Tae-Seok 7. Kim In-Sung 8. Oberdan 16. Han Chan-Hee (C) 10. Baek Sung-Dong 37. Hong Yoon-Sang 9. Jorge Luiz	50. Obi P. O. (G) 2. Iino N. 81. Kikuchi R. 55. Iwanami T. 23. Hirose R. 44. Hidaka M. 25. Kuwasaki Y. 14. Yuruki K. 96. Yamaguchi H. (C) 30. Yamauchi K. 22. Sasaki D.
Substitutes
5. Aspropotamitis J. 55. Choi Hyeon-Woong 21. Hwang In-Jae (G) 70. Hwang Seo-woong 27. Jeong Jae-Hee 11. Jo Seong-Jun 18. Kang Hyeon-Je 88. Kim Dong Jin 89. Kim M. 23. Lee Dong-Hyeop 77. Wanderson 13. Yoon Seok-Joo	21. Arai S. (G) 19. Hatsuse R. 15. Honda Y. 7. Ideguchi Y. 9. Miyashiro T. 88. Morioka R. 60. Taiga K. (G) 35. Tominaga N.
Coaches
Park Tae-Ha	Yoshida T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Han Chan-Hee ⚽, Baek Sung-Dong (A),
20', 2 - 0, Kim In-Sung ⚽, Hong Yoon-Sang (A),
34', 2 - 1, Sasaki D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lee Tae-Seok ↓, Wanderson ↑,
58', Baek Sung-Dong ↓, Kang Hyeon-Je ↑,
58', Hong Yoon-Sang ↓, Jeong Jae-Hee ↑,
61', Yamauchi K. ↓, Miyashiro T. ↑,
61', Sasaki D. ↓, Morioka R. ↑,
61', Iino N. ↓, Tominaga N. ↑,
69', Hirose R. ↓, Hatsuse R. ↑,
71', Yamaguchi H. 🟨,
74', Kim In-Sung ↓, Aspropotamitis J. ↑,
77', Hidaka M. ↓, Ideguchi Y. ↑,
80', Kuwasaki Y. 🟨,
87', Han Chan-Hee ↓, Hwang Seo-woong ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Jeong Jae-Hee ⚽, Jorge Luiz (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Pohang is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vissel Kobe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pohang will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pohang Steelers
South Korean Cup
30.11.24	Pohang Steelers - Ulsan HD	3:1 ET ✺
AFC Champions League
27.11.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Pohang Steelers	2:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 1
23.11.24	Gangwon - Pohang Steelers	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Pohang Steelers - Gimcheon Sangmu	0:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
06.11.24	Pohang Steelers - Shandong Taishan	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW
- Vissel Kobe
Japan J1 League
30.11.24	Kashiwa Reysol - Vissel Kobe	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
26.11.24	Vissel Kobe - Central Coast Mariners	3:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
23.11.24	Gamba Osaka - Vissel Kobe	0:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
10.11.24	Tokyo Verdy - Vissel Kobe	1:1 ✺
AFC Champions League
05.11.24	Vissel Kobe - Gwangju	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWTW

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