The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama 60.1%
Draw 24.2%
Chapecoense 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.5%
24.4%
18.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.2%
24.3%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Vasco da Gama - Chapecoense Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Vasco will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Chapecoense will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Vasco: 54% – 99.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.75 - Chapecoense (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vasco da Gama will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Vasco (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Chapecoense (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Leo Jardim (G) 2. Rodriguez J. 46. Cuesta C. 30. Robert Renan 6. Lucas Piton 88. Cauan Barros 23. Thiago Mendes 17. Moreira N. 10. Coutinho (C) 11. Andres Gomez 20. Brenner
12. Leo Vieira (G) 25. Victor Caetano 33. Bruno Leonardo (C) 3. Eduardo Doma 26. Everton 99. Rafael Carvalheira 27. Camilo Reijers 37. Clar W. 10. Giovanni Augusto 31. Mauricio Garcez 77. Italo
Substitutes
28. Adson 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 7. David 19. GB 18. Hinestroza M. 25. Hugo Moura 60. Joao Vitor 98. JP 43. Lucas Freitas 29. Rojas J. 4. Saldivia A. 3. Tche Tche
19. David Antunes 22. Higor Meritao 20. Jean Carlos 5. Joao Vitor 21. Kauan 90. Mailson 7. Marcinho 2. Marcos Vinicius 1. Rafael Santos (G) 70. Rubens Ricoldi 35. Vinicius Eduardo
Coaches
Diniz F.
Gilmar Pozzo
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Higor Meritao ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Andres Gomez (A),
69', Italo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
69', Camilo Reijers ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
70', Brenner ↓, David ↑,
70', Bruno Leonardo ↓, Rubens Ricoldi ↑,
79', Rafael Carvalheira ↓, David Antunes ↑,
80', Lucas Piton ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
80', Thiago Mendes ↓, Hugo Moura ↑,
80', Moreira N. ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
85', Coutinho ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Jean Carlos ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2.
Vasco has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Chapecoense is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Chapecoense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Vasco has had a series of away games.
In this match, Vasco is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Vasco: Jair
(Knee Injury)
Paulo Henrique
(Inactive)
There will not play in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
Mancha
(Knee Injury)
Neto Pessoa
(Inactive)
Rafael Thyere
(Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vasco won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).
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Leo Jardim (G) 
Rodriguez J. 
Cuesta C. 
Moreira N. 
Clar W. 
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