Match Info

Date: 23 July 2022, Saturday

Location: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga (Goiânia)

Referee: Pereira Sampiao S. (Bra)


	Vila Nova		Vasco da Gama

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	2.55	2.75
	2.65	2.65	2.88
	2.95	2.55	2.75
	3.14	2.65	2.97
	3	2.6	2.75
	2.89	2.77	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.51)	2.63 ↓ (2.8)	2.83 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vila Nova
31.7%

Draw
35.4%

Vasco da Gama
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

33.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

34%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vila Nova's form might have worsened.

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vila Nova, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.9%	64.5%	22.6%

Vila Nova - Vasco da Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Vila Nova will win (votes: 4 - 12.9%). Vasco will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 64.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.7% – 81.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 1.

Vila Nova is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vasco is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vasco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Vila Nova: Victor Andrade (Injury) Wagner (Injury)

There will not play in Vasco: Getulio (Injury) Sarrafiore M. (Injury) Ulisses (Injury)

There are questionable in Vasco: Figueiredo L. (Injury) Palacios C. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Vila Nova won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vila Nova FC
Brazilian Serie B
18.07.22	Sport Recife - Vila Nova	0:0 ✺
15.07.22	Vila Nova - CS Alagoano	1:2 ✺
08.07.22	Vila Nova - Bahia	1:1 ✺
01.07.22	Cruzeiro - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
28.06.22	Vila Nova - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLTLT
- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
19.07.22	Vasco da Gama - Ituano	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Vasco da Gama	3:1 ✺
09.07.22	Criciúma - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
03.07.22	Vasco da Gama - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
29.06.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
08.04.22	Vasco da Gama - Vila Nova	1:1
15.11.21	Vila Nova - Vasco da Gama	2:2
10.08.21	Vasco da Gama - Vila Nova	1:0
Copa do Brasil
01.03.17	Vila Nova - Vasco da Gama	1:2
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.16	Vasco da Gama - Vila Nova	1:2
24.05.16	Vila Nova - Vasco da Gama	0:2
18.11.14	Vasco da Gama - Vila Nova	3:1

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