Match Info

Date: 28 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Estádio Vasco da Gama (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Augusto V. C. M. (Bra)


	Vasco da Gama		CRB Maceio

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.25	5.5
	1.66	3.15	5.6
	1.7	3.25	5.2
	1.71	3.38	6.37
	1.7	3.1	5.8
	1.68	3.36	6.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.91)	3.25 ↑ (3)	5.75 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama
55.2%

Draw
28.6%

CRB Maceio
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

30.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

31.6%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vasco da Gama's performance.

CRB Maceio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vasco da Gama that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CRB Maceio than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.2%	14.5%	7.3%

Vasco da Gama - CRB Maceio Predictions

Users Predictions: Vasco da Gama will win (43 of 55 users predict this - 78.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.26% – 89.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Vasco won 2.

Recent matches Vasco is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CRB is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Vasco is a favorite.

There will not play in Vasco: Getulio (Injury) Sarrafiore M. (Injury) Ulisses (Injury)

There will not play in CRB: Gilvan (Injury)

There are questionable in CRB: Guilherme Romao (Injury)

Last 7 head-to-head matches Vasco won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Vasco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama
Brazilian Serie B
23.07.22	Vila Nova - Vasco da Gama	1:0 ✺
19.07.22	Vasco da Gama - Ituano	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	Sampaio Corrêa - Vasco da Gama	3:1 ✺
09.07.22	Criciúma - Vasco da Gama	0:1 ✺
03.07.22	Vasco da Gama - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWT
- CRB Maceio
Brazilian Serie B
23.07.22	CRB Maceio - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1 ✺
19.07.22	Bahia - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	CRB Maceio - Brusque	1:1 ✺
05.07.22	Operário Ferroviario - CRB Maceio	2:3 ✺
02.07.22	CRB Maceio - Guarani	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.04.22	CRB Maceio - Vasco da Gama	1:1
16.09.21	CRB Maceio - Vasco da Gama	1:1
19.06.21	Vasco da Gama - CRB Maceio	3:0
15.10.16	Vasco da Gama - CRB Maceio	1:2
25.06.16	CRB Maceio - Vasco da Gama	1:2
Copa do Brasil
18.05.16	Vasco da Gama - CRB Maceio	1:1
11.05.16	CRB Maceio - Vasco da Gama	0:1

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