Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 16

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: USW Sports Park (Pontypridd)


	Pontypridd United		Trefelin

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	4.3
	1.61	4.13	4.09
				Watch
	1.61	4.15	4.25
	1.6	4.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)	4.17 ↑ (4)	4.24 ↑ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pontypridd United
56.7%

Draw
21.8%

Trefelin
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

22.6%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

21.6%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Pontypridd United - Trefelin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Goldsworthy C. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Griffiths D. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Eason L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 3 - 1, Griffiths D. ⚽,
64', 3 - 2, Horgan-Evans D. ⚽,
86', Clarke J. 🟨,
90+3', 4 - 2, Lewis K. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pontypridd United
Welsh Cymru South
23.11.24	Llantwit Major - Pontypridd United	1:1 ✺
09.11.24	Carmarthen Town - Pontypridd United	0:1 ✺
01.11.24	Pontypridd United - Ammanford	3:0 ✺
26.10.24	Baglan Dragons - Pontypridd United	2:2 ✺
11.10.24	Pontypridd United - Cwmbran Celtic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWWTW
- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
22.11.24	Trefelin - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.11.24	Trefelin - Gap Connahs Quay	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
12.11.24	Caerau Ely - Trefelin	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Goytre United - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	Trefelin - Cambrian United	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
06.08.24	Trefelin - Pontypridd United	2:3
08.04.22	Pontypridd United - Trefelin	2:1

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