Match Info

WALES: FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Trefelin		Gap Connahs Quay

	1	X	2
	8.5	5	1.27
	8.4	5.2	1.27
	7.1	4.99	1.28
	8.08	5.17	1.3	Watch
	7	4.5	1.33
	8.4	5.2	1.27
	8.4	5.2	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.98 ↑ (7.32)	5.04 ↑ (4.5)	1.28 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefelin
11.4%

Draw
18%

Gap Connahs Quay
70.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

20.1%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

16.2%

54.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gap Connahs Quay than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gap Connahs Quay, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Trefelin - Gap Connahs Quay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Nash B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Maher B. ⚽,
77', Goldsworthy C. 🟥,
78', Nash B. 🟥,
90+2', 1 - 2, Clarke J. (Pen),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
12.11.24	Caerau Ely - Trefelin	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Goytre United - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
02.11.24	Trefelin - Cambrian United	5:2 ✺
25.10.24	Afan Lido - Trefelin	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Trefelin - Carmarthen Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWTW
- Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier
09.11.24	Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	3:2 ✺
02.11.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
22.10.24	Gap Connahs Quay - Aberystwyth Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
25.09.21	Trefelin - Gap Connahs Quay	0:4

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